Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: OK Castkovce vs Slovan Duslo Šala

Team pages: OK Castkovce · Slovan Duslo Šala

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

OK Castkovce1.98

Slovan Duslo Šala1.51

1X2

47% 24% 28%

OK Castkovce Draw Slovan Duslo Šala

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

OK Castkovce 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLDLLLLLLW

Slovan Duslo Šala 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWLLLW

Head-to-head

OK Castkovce 1–1–4 Slovan Duslo Šala (6 last)

Slovan Duslo Šala2-1OK Castkovce
OK Castkovce4-3Slovan Duslo Šala
OK Castkovce0-2Slovan Duslo Šala
Slovan Duslo Šala2-1OK Castkovce
Slovan Duslo Šala2-1OK Castkovce
OK Castkovce1-1Slovan Duslo Šala

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OK Castkovce 1441 · Slovan Duslo Šala 1505

	OK Castkovce	Draw	Slovan Duslo Šala
Our model	48%	24%	29%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Slovan Duslo Šala (rating 1441 vs 1505).
H2H favours Slovan Duslo Šala: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	OK Castkovce	Slovan Duslo Šala
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.2	2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.3	1.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.5	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.60

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
11:42 +21’	1.91	3.60	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · OK Castkovce 1–1–4 Slovan Duslo Šala

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	Slovan Duslo Šala	2-1 HT 0-0	OK Castkovce
11/10/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	OK Castkovce	4-3 HT 2-2	Slovan Duslo Šala
23/04/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	OK Castkovce	0-2 HT 0-1	Slovan Duslo Šala
05/10/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	Slovan Duslo Šala	2-1 HT 0-1	OK Castkovce
02/03/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	Slovan Duslo Šala	2-1 HT 0-1	OK Castkovce
05/08/23 Slovakia 3. Liga	OK Castkovce	1-1 HT 0-0	Slovan Duslo Šala

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TJ Kovo Belusa	4	4	0	0	15	5	12
2	FC Nitra	4	3	1	0	10	3	10
3	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	4	3	0	1	8	6	9
4	FK Nove Zamky	4	2	2	0	5	2	8
5	OFK Dunajska Luzna	4	2	1	1	5	4	7
6	AS Trencin B	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
7	Dunajska Streda B	4	2	0	2	10	8	6
8	MSK Senec	4	2	0	2	6	8	6
9	Puchov	4	1	2	1	5	3	5
10	Spartak Myjava	4	1	2	1	7	9	5
11	FC Banik Prievidza	4	1	0	3	5	8	3
12	Slovan Duslo Šala	4	1	0	3	6	10	3
13	OK Castkovce	4	1	0	3	9	11	3
14	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	4	0	2	2	4	9	2
15	KFC Komarno B	4	0	2	2	4	11	2
16	Raca Bratislava	4	0	1	3	6	10	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	OK Castkovce	Slovan Duslo Šala
Dunajska Streda B	3-1 W	0-1 L
MSK Senec	2-3 L	3-1 W
TJ Kovo Belusa	1-4 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Slovan Duslo Šala (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

OK Castkovce

DLDLLLLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	3	6	W
22/08	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-4	–	–	L
15/08	FC Nitra Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	4	2	L
07/08	MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-3	2	6	L
06/06	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
30/05	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
23/05	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
16/05	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
09/05	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
02/05	FC Malacky Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Slovan Duslo Šala

LWLWLWLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	3-1	2	6	W
22/08	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
15/08	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
09/08	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-4	2-4	–	–	L
06/06	FC Petrzalka B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	5-0	5	1	W
30/05	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
23/05	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	4-2	6	9	W
17/05	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	2-4	7	3	L
09/05	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	5	5	W
03/05	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OK Castkovce vs Slovan Duslo Šala?

According to our model, the most likely result is a OK Castkovce win (47%). Probabilities: OK Castkovce 47%, draw 24%, Slovan Duslo Šala 28%.

How many goals are expected in OK Castkovce vs Slovan Duslo Šala?

The model expects 3.49 goals (OK Castkovce 1.98 · Slovan Duslo Šala 1.51), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in OK Castkovce vs Slovan Duslo Šala?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.