Football · Austria 2. Liga · 01/08, 18:30

Prediction: First Vienna FC 1894 vs Sturm Graz II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

First Vienna FC 18942.17

Sturm Graz II0.46

1X2

76% 18% 6%

First Vienna FC 1894 Draw Sturm Graz II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

First Vienna FC 1894 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWWDLW

Sturm Graz II 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

First Vienna FC 1894 2–2–2 Sturm Graz II (6 last)

First Vienna FC 18942-1Sturm Graz II
Sturm Graz II0-2First Vienna FC 1894
Sturm Graz II4-1First Vienna FC 1894

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours First Vienna FC 1894 (rating 1577 vs 1375).
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	First Vienna FC 1894	Sturm Graz II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.8	0.6 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.9	2.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.91

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:38

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Pinn 1.75
X	3.95 → 3.95	Pinn 3.95
2	4.05 → 4.05	Pinn 4.05

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:38	1.75	3.95	4.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · First Vienna FC 1894 2–2–2 Sturm Graz II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Austria 2. Liga	First Vienna FC 1894	2-1 HT 1-1	Sturm Graz II
18/10/25 Austria 2. Liga	Sturm Graz II	0-2 HT 0-1	First Vienna FC 1894
29/04/25 Austria 2. Liga	Sturm Graz II	4-1 HT 3-0	First Vienna FC 1894
04/10/24 Austria 2. Liga	First Vienna FC 1894	2-4 HT 1-2	Sturm Graz II
24/02/24 Austria 2. Liga	Sturm Graz II	1-1 HT 0-1	First Vienna FC 1894
06/08/23 Austria 2. Liga	First Vienna FC 1894	2-2 HT 1-0	Sturm Graz II

Standings · Austria 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ASK Voitsberg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Blau Weiss Linz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Floridsdorfer AC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Admira Wacker	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hertha Wels	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Liefering	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	First Vienna FC 1894	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Kapfenberg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rapid Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SW Bregenz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	St Polten	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SKU Amstetten	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sturm Graz II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Austria Salzburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Wacker Innsbruck	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Austria Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	First Vienna FC 1894	Sturm Graz II
Rapid Vienna II	0-1 L	1-2 L
Hertha Wels	1-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: First Vienna FC 1894 (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

First Vienna FC 1894

DWLWWWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Cup	2-0	2-1	6	4	W
18/07	Hartberg Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
11/07	QPR Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
07/07	Grazer AK Europe Friendlies	1-1	4-2	1	2	W
03/07	Kremser SC Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
24/06	SC Weiz Europe Friendlies	1-1	6-2	6	0	W
14/05	SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga	2-0	2-0	4	1	W
08/05	Rapid Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
02/05	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
24/04	SKU Amstetten Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	7	D

Sturm Graz II

DLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-4	3	1	L
24/07	FC Gleisdorf 09 Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-2	0	0	L
19/07	Al Hilal Riyadh World Club Friendlies	1-1	1-2	4	0	L
03/07	Kispest Honved Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-2	4	1	L
26/06	Oberwart Europe Friendlies	0-3	0-4	4	0	L
14/05	Rapid Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	9	6	L
08/05	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	0-2	0-2	7	5	L
02/05	SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
26/04	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	1-1	1-2	10	6	L
18/04	Austria Klagenfurt Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in First Vienna FC 1894 vs Sturm Graz II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a First Vienna FC 1894 win (76%). Probabilities: First Vienna FC 1894 76%, draw 18%, Sturm Graz II 6%.

How many goals are expected in First Vienna FC 1894 vs Sturm Graz II?

The model expects 2.63 goals (First Vienna FC 1894 2.17 · Sturm Graz II 0.46), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in First Vienna FC 1894 vs Sturm Graz II?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.