Football · Austria 2. Liga · 08/08, 17:30

Prediction: SW Bregenz vs SV Kapfenberg

Team pages: SW Bregenz · SV Kapfenberg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

SW Bregenz1.95

SV Kapfenberg1.3

1X2

52% 24% 25%

SW Bregenz Draw SV Kapfenberg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SW Bregenz 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWWWWDWL

SV Kapfenberg 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

SW Bregenz 2–1–3 SV Kapfenberg (6 last)

SV Kapfenberg3-1SW Bregenz
SW Bregenz1-1SV Kapfenberg
SV Kapfenberg5-3SW Bregenz
SW Bregenz4-0SV Kapfenberg
SV Kapfenberg1-3SW Bregenz
SW Bregenz0-2SV Kapfenberg

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SW Bregenz (rating 1533 vs 1491).
H2H favours SV Kapfenberg: 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SW Bregenz	SV Kapfenberg
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.2	1.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.4	3.3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.2	2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.79

Under 32.01

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:25

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.04 → 2.04	Pinn 2.04
X	3.89 → 3.89	Pinn 3.89
2	3.12 → 3.12	Pinn 3.12

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:24 +1’	2.04	3.89	3.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SW Bregenz 2–1–3 SV Kapfenberg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Austria 2. Liga	SV Kapfenberg	3-1 HT 1-0	SW Bregenz
24/10/25 Austria 2. Liga	SW Bregenz	1-1 HT 1-0	SV Kapfenberg
24/05/25 Austria 2. Liga	SV Kapfenberg	5-3 HT 2-1	SW Bregenz
01/12/24 Austria 2. Liga	SW Bregenz	4-0 HT 2-0	SV Kapfenberg
02/03/24 Austria 2. Liga	SV Kapfenberg	1-3 HT 0-2	SW Bregenz
12/08/23 Austria 2. Liga	SW Bregenz	0-2 HT 0-1	SV Kapfenberg

Standings · Austria 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Wacker Innsbruck	1	1	0	0	5	0	3
2	FC Liefering	1	1	0	0	4	0	3
2	First Vienna FC 1894	1	1	0	0	4	0	3
4	FC Blau Weiss Linz	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
5	Floridsdorfer AC	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
5	Rapid Vienna II	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
7	ASK Voitsberg	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
7	SKU Amstetten	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
9	Hertha Wels	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	SV Austria Salzburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Admira Wacker	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
11	St Polten	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
13	FK Austria Vienna II	1	0	0	1	0	3	0
14	SV Kapfenberg	1	0	0	1	0	4	0
14	Sturm Graz II	1	0	0	1	0	4	0
16	SW Bregenz	1	0	0	1	0	5	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SW Bregenz

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria 2. Liga	0-4	0-5	4	3	L
25/07	Vortuna Bad Leonfelden Austria Cup	3-0	5-0	3	2	W
15/07	Austria Lustenau Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
11/07	Hohenems Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
07/07	FC Dornbirn 1913 Europe Friendlies	1-0	4-0	7	0	W
03/07	SC Bruhl Europe Friendlies	1-0	4-0	4	4	W
27/06	St Gallen II Club Friendly List	3-0	4-1	2	0	W
27/06	St Gallen U21 Europe Friendlies	3-0	4-1	2	0	W
14/05	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	0-2	0-2	3	1	L
08/05	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-2	2-2	7	4	D

SV Kapfenberg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga	0-2	0-4	5	5	L
25/07	SK Treibach Austria Cup	2-0	4-1	12	7	W
17/07	Wolfsberger AC Europe Friendlies	0-3	1-6	5	1	L
11/07	GAK 1902 II Club Friendly List	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
11/07	Grazer AK Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	4	0	L
03/07	Deutschlandsberger SC Europe Friendlies	5-1	7-2	6	0	W
30/06	SV Tillmitsch Club Friendly List	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/06	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	4	0	W
18/06	Austria Klagenfurt Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-1	6	0	L
14/05	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SW Bregenz vs SV Kapfenberg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SW Bregenz win (52%). Probabilities: SW Bregenz 52%, draw 24%, SV Kapfenberg 25%.

How many goals are expected in SW Bregenz vs SV Kapfenberg?

The model expects 3.26 goals (SW Bregenz 1.95 · SV Kapfenberg 1.3), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SW Bregenz vs SV Kapfenberg?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.