Football · Austria 2. Liga · 31/07, 18:30

Prediction: FC Wacker Innsbruck vs SW Bregenz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

FC Wacker Innsbruck1.8

SW Bregenz1.42

1X2

45% 26% 29%

FC Wacker Innsbruck Draw SW Bregenz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Wacker Innsbruck 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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SW Bregenz 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Wacker Innsbruck 1593 · SW Bregenz 1561

	FC Wacker Innsbruck	Draw	SW Bregenz
Our model	45%	25%	30%
Market	45%	26%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Wacker Innsbruck	SW Bregenz
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1.1	2.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.2	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.8	2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	2.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.40

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:03 +5’	2.00	3.40	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Austria 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ASK Voitsberg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Blau Weiss Linz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Floridsdorfer AC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Admira Wacker	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hertha Wels	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Liefering	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	First Vienna FC 1894	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Kapfenberg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rapid Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SW Bregenz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	St Polten	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SKU Amstetten	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sturm Graz II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Austria Salzburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Wacker Innsbruck	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Austria Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Wacker Innsbruck

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	SVG Reichenau Austria Cup	2-0	3-0	5	3	W
13/07	FK Teplice Club Friendly List	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
13/06	SCR Altach II Austria Regionalliga West	3-0	5-0	–	–	W
07/06	TSV St. Johann Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
03/06	FC Kufstein Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/05	Hohenems Austria Regionalliga West	2-0	4-1	6	5	W
25/05	WSG Swarovski Wattens II Austria Amateur Cup	3-0	3-1	4	3	W
22/05	SV Kuchl Austria Regionalliga West	3-0	4-3	–	–	W
17/05	SC Schwaz Austria Regionalliga West	2-0	5-1	–	–	W
08/05	SC Imst Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	2-1	4	7	W

SW Bregenz

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Vortuna Bad Leonfelden Austria Cup	3-0	5-0	3	2	W
15/07	Austria Lustenau Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
11/07	Hohenems Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
07/07	FC Dornbirn 1913 Europe Friendlies	1-0	4-0	7	0	W
03/07	SC Bruhl Europe Friendlies	1-0	4-0	4	4	W
27/06	St Gallen II Club Friendly List	3-0	4-1	2	0	W
27/06	St Gallen U21 Europe Friendlies	3-0	4-1	2	0	W
14/05	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	0-2	0-2	3	1	L
08/05	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-2	2-2	7	4	D
03/05	Austria Lustenau Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Wacker Innsbruck vs SW Bregenz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Wacker Innsbruck win (45%). Probabilities: FC Wacker Innsbruck 45%, draw 26%, SW Bregenz 29%.

How many goals are expected in FC Wacker Innsbruck vs SW Bregenz?

The model expects 3.22 goals (FC Wacker Innsbruck 1.8 · SW Bregenz 1.42), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Wacker Innsbruck vs SW Bregenz?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.