Football · Austria 2. Liga · 15/08, 18:30
Prediction: SV Kapfenberg vs FC Wacker Innsbruck
Team pages: SV Kapfenberg · FC Wacker Innsbruck
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
SV Kapfenberg1.43
FC Wacker Innsbruck1.73
1X2
SV Kapfenberg
Draw
FC Wacker Innsbruck
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
SV Kapfenberg
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
FC Wacker Innsbruck
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SV Kapfenberg
2–1–3
FC Wacker Innsbruck
(6 last)
- SV Kapfenberg3-2FC Wacker Innsbruck
- FC Wacker Innsbruck2-0SV Kapfenberg
- FC Wacker Innsbruck1-1SV Kapfenberg
- SV Kapfenberg0-3FC Wacker Innsbruck
- SV Kapfenberg2-3FC Wacker Innsbruck
- FC Wacker Innsbruck1-2SV Kapfenberg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SV Kapfenberg 1474 · FC Wacker Innsbruck 1570
| SV Kapfenberg | Draw | FC Wacker Innsbruck | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| Market | 30% | 27% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Wacker Innsbruck (rating 1474 vs 1570).
- H2H favours FC Wacker Innsbruck: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SV Kapfenberg | FC Wacker Innsbruck | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2 | 2.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 1.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.9 | 1.4 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Kapfenberg 2–1–3 FC Wacker Innsbruck
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/22 Austria 2. Liga | SV Kapfenberg | 3-2 HT 2-2 | FC Wacker Innsbruck |
| 30/07/21 Austria 2. Liga | FC Wacker Innsbruck | 2-0 HT 1-0 | SV Kapfenberg |
| 28/02/21 Austria 2. Liga | FC Wacker Innsbruck | 1-1 HT 0-0 | SV Kapfenberg |
| 11/09/20 Austria 2. Liga | SV Kapfenberg | 0-3 HT 0-3 | FC Wacker Innsbruck |
| 14/07/20 Austria 2. Liga | SV Kapfenberg | 2-3 HT 1-1 | FC Wacker Innsbruck |
| 04/10/19 Austria 2. Liga | FC Wacker Innsbruck | 1-2 HT 0-1 | SV Kapfenberg |
Standings · Austria 2. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Blau Weiss Linz | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | SV Austria Salzburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | ASK Voitsberg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | SKU Amstetten | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | FC Wacker Innsbruck | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | First Vienna FC 1894 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Hertha Wels | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Sturm Graz II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 9 | Rapid Vienna II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | FK Austria Vienna II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Liefering | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Floridsdorfer AC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | SW Bregenz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 14 | Admira Wacker | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | St Polten | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SV Kapfenberg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 31/07 | FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | SK Treibach Austria Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 17/07 | Wolfsberger AC Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 1-6 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | GAK 1902 II Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Grazer AK Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 03/07 | Deutschlandsberger SC Europe Friendlies |
5-1 | 7-2 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 30/06 | SV Tillmitsch Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/06 | Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 18/06 | Austria Klagenfurt Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
FC Wacker Innsbruck
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria 2. Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga |
4-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | SVG Reichenau Austria Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/07 | FK Teplice Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | SCR Altach II Austria Regionalliga West |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | TSV St. Johann Austria Regionalliga West |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/06 | FC Kufstein Austria Regionalliga West |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Hohenems Austria Regionalliga West |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | WSG Tirol II Austria Amateur Cup |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | SV Kuchl Austria Regionalliga West |
3-0 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SV Kapfenberg vs FC Wacker Innsbruck?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Wacker Innsbruck win (43%). Probabilities: SV Kapfenberg 30%, draw 26%, FC Wacker Innsbruck 43%.
How many goals are expected in SV Kapfenberg vs FC Wacker Innsbruck?
The model expects 3.16 goals (SV Kapfenberg 1.43 · FC Wacker Innsbruck 1.73), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in SV Kapfenberg vs FC Wacker Innsbruck?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.