Football · Austria 2. Liga · 30/08, 10:30

Prediction: Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Vienna II

Team pages: Sturm Graz II · Rapid Vienna II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Sturm Graz II1.23

Rapid Vienna II2.02

1X2

22% 23% 55%

Sturm Graz II Draw Rapid Vienna II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Sturm Graz II 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLLWLL

Rapid Vienna II 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWLWL

Head-to-head

Sturm Graz II 2–2–2 Rapid Vienna II (6 last)

Sturm Graz II1-2Rapid Vienna II
Rapid Vienna II1-1Sturm Graz II
Sturm Graz II1-0Rapid Vienna II
Rapid Vienna II4-2Sturm Graz II
Rapid Vienna II2-2Sturm Graz II
Rapid Vienna II0-4Sturm Graz II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rapid Vienna II (rating 1374 vs 1547).
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sturm Graz II	Rapid Vienna II
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.2	1.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.3	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.6	1.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.6	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.79

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.68 → 2.68	Pinn 2.68
X	3.72 → 3.72	Pinn 3.72
2	2.36 → 2.36	Pinn 2.36

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:24 +1’	2.68	3.72	2.36

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sturm Graz II 2–2–2 Rapid Vienna II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Austria 2. Liga	Sturm Graz II	1-2 HT 0-1	Rapid Vienna II
29/11/25 Austria 2. Liga	Rapid Vienna II	1-1 HT 0-0	Sturm Graz II
22/02/25 Austria 2. Liga	Sturm Graz II	1-0 HT 1-0	Rapid Vienna II
10/08/24 Austria 2. Liga	Rapid Vienna II	4-2 HT 3-1	Sturm Graz II
05/07/24 Europe Friendlies	Rapid Vienna II	2-2 HT 2-1	Sturm Graz II
07/04/23 Austria 2. Liga	Rapid Vienna II	0-4 HT 0-2	Sturm Graz II

Standings · Austria 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Blau Weiss Linz	4	4	0	0	12	1	12
2	SV Austria Salzburg	4	3	0	1	10	6	9
3	FC Wacker Innsbruck	4	3	0	1	7	3	9
4	FC Liefering	4	2	1	1	10	6	7
5	First Vienna FC 1894	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
6	Floridsdorfer AC	4	2	1	1	7	6	7
7	SW Bregenz	4	2	1	1	6	8	7
8	SKU Amstetten	4	1	3	0	6	5	6
9	FK Austria Vienna II	4	2	0	2	5	6	6
10	Rapid Vienna II	4	2	0	2	4	6	6
11	ASK Voitsberg	4	1	2	1	5	7	5
12	Hertha Wels	4	1	1	2	5	7	4
13	Admira Wacker	4	1	0	3	3	4	3
14	Sturm Graz II	4	1	0	3	5	11	3
15	St Polten	4	0	0	4	0	4	0
16	SV Kapfenberg	4	0	0	4	4	11	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sturm Graz II	Rapid Vienna II
Admira Wacker	0-2 L	1-0 W
Floridsdorfer AC	4-2 W	0-2 L
First Vienna FC 1894	0-4 L	1-0 W
Hertha Wels	0-2 L	2-1 W
Austria Klagenfurt	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Rapid Vienna II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sturm Graz II

LDLLLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga	1-2	1-3	0	4	L
15/08	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	9	5	L
08/08	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	2-2	4-2	3	2	W
01/08	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	0-2	0-4	4	1	L
14/05	Rapid Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	9	6	L
08/05	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	0-2	0-2	7	5	L
02/05	SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
26/04	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	1-1	1-2	10	6	L
18/04	Austria Klagenfurt Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
12/04	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	1-1	1-2	5	3	L

Rapid Vienna II

WLLLWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
14/08	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	8	3	W
08/08	ASK Voitsberg Austria 2. Liga	0-2	1-3	3	8	L
31/07	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
14/05	Sturm Graz II Austria 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
08/05	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
03/05	Austria Klagenfurt Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-2	6	2	L
17/04	Austria Lustenau Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-3	4	7	L
10/04	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	1-1	1-4	3	3	L
06/04	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	2-0	2-0	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Vienna II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rapid Vienna II win (55%). Probabilities: Sturm Graz II 22%, draw 23%, Rapid Vienna II 55%.

How many goals are expected in Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Vienna II?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Sturm Graz II 1.23 · Rapid Vienna II 2.02), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Vienna II?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.