Football · Austria 2. Liga · 31/07, 18:30

Prediction: FK Austria Vienna II vs FC Blau Weiss Linz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.1Total

FK Austria Vienna II1.38

FC Blau Weiss Linz1.72

1X2

30% 25% 45%

FK Austria Vienna II Draw FC Blau Weiss Linz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Austria Vienna II 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLDLLDLWW

FC Blau Weiss Linz 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LDLWDWDWDD

Head-to-head

FK Austria Vienna II 1–5 FC Blau Weiss Linz (6 last)

FK Austria Vienna II2-1FC Blau Weiss Linz
FC Blau Weiss Linz4-2FK Austria Vienna II
FK Austria Vienna II1-4FC Blau Weiss Linz
FC Blau Weiss Linz3-1FK Austria Vienna II
FC Blau Weiss Linz4-0FK Austria Vienna II
FK Austria Vienna II2-4FC Blau Weiss Linz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Austria Vienna II 1466 · FC Blau Weiss Linz 1540

	FK Austria Vienna II	Draw	FC Blau Weiss Linz
Our model	30%	26%	45%
Market	30%	25%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Blau Weiss Linz (rating 1466 vs 1540).
H2H favours FC Blau Weiss Linz: 5-0-1.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Austria Vienna II	FC Blau Weiss Linz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2	2.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.3	2.1 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.2	2.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.60

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 3.00▲	Pinn 3.29 ★
X	3.50 → 3.60▲	Pinn 3.72
2	2.25 → 2.00▼	Pinn 2.02

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
11:58 +10’	2.63	3.50	2.25
14:02 +6’	3.00▲	3.60▲	2.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:07	3.25	3.67	2.01
15:09	3.29▲	3.72▲	2.02▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Austria Vienna II 1–0–5 FC Blau Weiss Linz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/03/23 Austria 2. Liga	FK Austria Vienna II	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Blau Weiss Linz
29/07/22 Austria 2. Liga	FC Blau Weiss Linz	4-2 HT 2-0	FK Austria Vienna II
22/04/22 Austria 2. Liga	FK Austria Vienna II	1-4 HT 0-1	FC Blau Weiss Linz
17/10/21 Austria 2. Liga	FC Blau Weiss Linz	3-1 HT 1-1	FK Austria Vienna II
16/05/21 Austria 2. Liga	FC Blau Weiss Linz	4-0 HT 2-0	FK Austria Vienna II
12/02/21 Austria 2. Liga	FK Austria Vienna II	2-4 HT 1-3	FC Blau Weiss Linz

Standings · Austria 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ASK Voitsberg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Blau Weiss Linz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Floridsdorfer AC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Admira Wacker	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hertha Wels	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Liefering	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	First Vienna FC 1894	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Kapfenberg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rapid Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SW Bregenz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	St Polten	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SKU Amstetten	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sturm Graz II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Austria Salzburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Wacker Innsbruck	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Austria Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Austria Vienna II

DLLDLLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Junge Wikinger Ried Europe Friendlies	2-0	4-2	9	2	W
17/07	SV Lafnitz Europe Friendlies	2-0	5-0	6	2	W
14/07	Parndorf Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-2	9	4	L
10/07	SR Fach-Donaufeld Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-1	3	0	D
03/07	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Europe Friendlies	1-1	1-3	3	0	L
14/05	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
08/05	SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga	2-0	2-2	2	4	D
02/05	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	0-2	0-5	4	2	L
24/04	FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga	0-2	0-2	6	1	L
17/04	SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	6	D

FC Blau Weiss Linz

LDLWDWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Union Gurten Austria Cup	0-1	1-1	11	2	D
18/07	Eintracht Braunschweig Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
12/07	SPG Pregarten Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-0	10	2	W
11/07	Puskas Academy Europe Friendlies	1-1	1-1	4	1	D
04/07	SC Wiener Viktoria Europe Friendlies	0-0	4-0	9	0	W
03/07	Crvena Zvezda Europe Friendlies	1-2	2-2	2	0	D
27/06	SPG Wilhering/Muhlbach Club Friendly List	9-0	15-0	–	–	W
16/05	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-3	3	3	L
09/05	WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
02/05	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-2	9	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Austria Vienna II vs FC Blau Weiss Linz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Blau Weiss Linz win (45%). Probabilities: FK Austria Vienna II 30%, draw 25%, FC Blau Weiss Linz 45%.

How many goals are expected in FK Austria Vienna II vs FC Blau Weiss Linz?

The model expects 3.1 goals (FK Austria Vienna II 1.38 · FC Blau Weiss Linz 1.72), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Austria Vienna II vs FC Blau Weiss Linz?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.