Football · Austria 2. Liga · 09/10, 20:30

Prediction: First Vienna FC 1894 vs St Polten

Team pages: First Vienna FC 1894 · St Polten

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

First Vienna FC 18941.44

St Polten1

1X2

47% 27% 26%

First Vienna FC 1894 Draw St Polten

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

First Vienna FC 1894 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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St Polten 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLLWWW

Head-to-head

First Vienna FC 1894 4–1–1 St Polten (6 last)

First Vienna FC 18942-1St Polten
St Polten2-1First Vienna FC 1894
St Polten3-3First Vienna FC 1894
First Vienna FC 18942-1St Polten
First Vienna FC 18947-3St Polten
St Polten1-2First Vienna FC 1894

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · First Vienna FC 1894 1594 · St Polten 1482

	First Vienna FC 1894	Draw	St Polten
Our model	46%	29%	25%
Market	48%	25%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours First Vienna FC 1894 (rating 1594 vs 1482).
H2H favours First Vienna FC 1894: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	First Vienna FC 1894	St Polten
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.8	1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.8	3 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.70

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:04 +107’	1.91	3.70	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · First Vienna FC 1894 4–1–1 St Polten

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/02/26 Austria 2. Liga	First Vienna FC 1894	2-1 HT 1-0	St Polten
15/08/25 Austria 2. Liga	St Polten	2-1 HT 0-1	First Vienna FC 1894
14/03/25 Austria 2. Liga	St Polten	3-3 HT 0-0	First Vienna FC 1894
30/08/24 Austria 2. Liga	First Vienna FC 1894	2-1 HT 0-1	St Polten
05/04/24 Austria 2. Liga	First Vienna FC 1894	7-3 HT 5-0	St Polten
15/09/23 Austria 2. Liga	St Polten	1-2 HT 0-0	First Vienna FC 1894

Standings · Austria 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Blau Weiss Linz	7	6	0	1	20	4	18
2	First Vienna FC 1894	7	5	1	1	14	7	16
3	Floridsdorfer AC	7	4	1	2	13	10	13
4	SKU Amstetten	7	3	3	1	14	11	12
5	FK Austria Vienna II	7	4	0	3	13	11	12
6	FC Wacker Innsbruck	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
7	SV Austria Salzburg	7	3	1	3	14	12	10
8	FC Liefering	7	3	1	3	14	15	10
9	SW Bregenz	7	3	1	3	11	12	10
10	St Polten	7	3	0	4	6	6	9
11	Admira Wacker	7	3	0	4	7	8	9
12	ASK Voitsberg	7	2	3	2	10	12	9
13	Sturm Graz II	7	2	2	3	15	18	8
14	Rapid Vienna II	7	2	0	5	7	17	6
15	Hertha Wels	7	1	1	5	8	17	4
16	SV Kapfenberg	7	1	0	6	9	17	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	First Vienna FC 1894	St Polten
Hertha Wels	3-1 W	1-0 W
Admira Wacker	1-0 W	0-0 D
FC Liefering	2-2 D	3-1 W
SV Austria Salzburg	1-4 L	1-0 W
SW Bregenz	2-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: First Vienna FC 1894 (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

First Vienna FC 1894

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	0-0	3-1	9	4	W
11/09	Rapid Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
28/08	SKU Amstetten Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
21/08	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
16/08	FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	5	4	D
08/08	SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga	1-1	1-4	5	7	L
01/08	Sturm Graz II Austria 2. Liga	2-0	4-0	5	1	W
14/05	SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga	2-0	2-0	4	1	W
08/05	Rapid Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
02/05	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	3	W

St Polten

DWWLLLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	4	8	W
13/09	FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga	1-0	3-1	9	4	W
28/08	SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
21/08	FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
14/08	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
07/08	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
31/07	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	8	7	L
14/05	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
08/05	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	3-0	3-0	7	3	W
02/05	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in First Vienna FC 1894 vs St Polten?

According to our model, the most likely result is a First Vienna FC 1894 win (47%). Probabilities: First Vienna FC 1894 47%, draw 27%, St Polten 26%.

How many goals are expected in First Vienna FC 1894 vs St Polten?

The model expects 2.44 goals (First Vienna FC 1894 1.44 · St Polten 1), with a 61% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in First Vienna FC 1894 vs St Polten?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.