Football · Austria 2. Liga · 16/10, 18:30

Prediction: St Polten vs Rapid Vienna II

Team pages: St Polten · Rapid Vienna II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

St Polten2.03

Rapid Vienna II0.91

1X2

63% 22% 16%

St Polten Draw Rapid Vienna II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

St Polten 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLWWWL

Rapid Vienna II 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLLLLL

Head-to-head

St Polten 6–0 Rapid Vienna II (6 last)

St Polten4-0Rapid Vienna II
Rapid Vienna II0-2St Polten
St Polten3-1Rapid Vienna II
Rapid Vienna II0-1St Polten
St Polten1-0Rapid Vienna II
Rapid Vienna II1-5St Polten

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · St Polten 1503 · Rapid Vienna II 1472

	St Polten	Draw	Rapid Vienna II
Our model	62%	23%	15%
Market	63%	21%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours St Polten: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	St Polten	Rapid Vienna II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.9	1.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.2	1.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.45

X4.33

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.77

2 (+1)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.45▼	Pinn 1.53
X	4.10 → 4.33▲	Pinn 4.66 ★
2	4.50 → 5.75▲	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.4% Pinnacle margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:53 +16’	1.60	4.10	4.50
15:37 +36’	1.45▼	4.33▲	5.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:32 +44’	1.39	5.10	5.81
17:32 +42’	1.53▲	4.66▼	4.88▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · St Polten 6–0–0 Rapid Vienna II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/26 Austria 2. Liga	St Polten	4-0 HT 2-0	Rapid Vienna II
30/08/25 Austria 2. Liga	Rapid Vienna II	0-2 HT 0-0	St Polten
16/05/25 Austria 2. Liga	St Polten	3-1 HT 0-0	Rapid Vienna II
22/11/24 Austria 2. Liga	Rapid Vienna II	0-1 HT 0-0	St Polten
04/06/23 Austria 2. Liga	St Polten	1-0 HT 1-0	Rapid Vienna II
29/07/22 Austria 2. Liga	Rapid Vienna II	1-5 HT 0-2	St Polten

Standings · Austria 2. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Blau Weiss Linz	8	6	1	1	21	5	19
2	First Vienna FC 1894	8	6	1	1	17	8	19
3	FK Austria Vienna II	8	5	0	3	14	11	15
4	FC Wacker Innsbruck	8	4	2	2	12	9	14
5	Floridsdorfer AC	8	4	1	3	14	12	13
6	SV Austria Salzburg	8	4	1	3	16	13	13
7	SKU Amstetten	8	3	4	1	15	12	13
8	FC Liefering	8	4	1	3	17	16	13
9	Admira Wacker	8	4	0	4	10	10	12
10	SW Bregenz	8	3	1	4	11	13	10
11	St Polten	8	3	0	5	7	9	9
12	ASK Voitsberg	8	2	3	3	12	15	9
13	Sturm Graz II	8	2	2	4	16	21	8
14	Hertha Wels	8	2	1	5	9	17	7
15	Rapid Vienna II	8	2	0	6	8	19	6
16	SV Kapfenberg	8	1	0	7	9	18	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	St Polten	Rapid Vienna II
First Vienna FC 1894	1-3 L	0-2 L
FC Wacker Innsbruck	0-1 L	1-2 L
FK Austria Vienna II	0-1 L	1-4 L
Floridsdorfer AC	0-1 L	0-2 L
Hertha Wels	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: St Polten (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

St Polten

WWLLLLWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	1-1	1-3	6	7	L
19/09	SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	4	8	W
13/09	FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga	1-0	3-1	9	4	W
28/08	SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
21/08	FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
14/08	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
07/08	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
31/07	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	8	7	L
14/05	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
08/05	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	3-0	3-0	7	3	W

Rapid Vienna II

WWWLWLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	7	3	L
20/09	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-1	1-4	3	5	L
11/09	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
30/08	Sturm Graz II Austria 2. Liga	1-2	2-5	0	6	L
22/08	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
14/08	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	8	3	W
08/08	ASK Voitsberg Austria 2. Liga	0-2	1-3	3	8	L
31/07	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
14/05	Sturm Graz II Austria 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
08/05	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St Polten vs Rapid Vienna II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a St Polten win (63%). Probabilities: St Polten 63%, draw 22%, Rapid Vienna II 16%.

How many goals are expected in St Polten vs Rapid Vienna II?

The model expects 2.94 goals (St Polten 2.03 · Rapid Vienna II 0.91), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in St Polten vs Rapid Vienna II?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.