Football · Austria 2. Liga · 23/10, 18:30
Prediction: SV Kapfenberg vs St Polten
Team pages: SV Kapfenberg · St Polten
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
SV Kapfenberg0.94
St Polten1.59
1X2
SV Kapfenberg
Draw
St Polten
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
SV Kapfenberg
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
St Polten
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SV Kapfenberg
1–5
St Polten
(6 last)
- SV Kapfenberg0-3St Polten
- St Polten2-1SV Kapfenberg
- St Polten3-1SV Kapfenberg
- SV Kapfenberg2-0St Polten
- St Polten2-0SV Kapfenberg
- SV Kapfenberg0-3St Polten
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SV Kapfenberg 1414 · St Polten 1497
| SV Kapfenberg | Draw | St Polten | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 28% | 51% |
| Market | 23% | 24% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.53 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours St Polten (rating 1414 vs 1497).
- H2H favours St Polten: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SV Kapfenberg | St Polten | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.9 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4 | 3.3 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Kapfenberg 1–0–5 St Polten
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Austria 2. Liga | SV Kapfenberg | 0-3 HT 0-3 | St Polten |
| 23/11/25 Austria 2. Liga | St Polten | 2-1 HT 1-0 | SV Kapfenberg |
| 07/03/25 Austria 2. Liga | St Polten | 3-1 HT 1-0 | SV Kapfenberg |
| 23/08/24 Austria 2. Liga | SV Kapfenberg | 2-0 HT 1-0 | St Polten |
| 08/03/24 Austria 2. Liga | St Polten | 2-0 HT 0-0 | SV Kapfenberg |
| 20/08/23 Austria 2. Liga | SV Kapfenberg | 0-3 HT 0-2 | St Polten |
Standings · Austria 2. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Blau Weiss Linz | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | First Vienna FC 1894 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | FK Austria Vienna II | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 16 |
| 4 | SV Austria Salzburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 16 |
| 5 | Admira Wacker | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | SKU Amstetten | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 14 |
| 7 | FC Wacker Innsbruck | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 8 | Floridsdorfer AC | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
| 9 | FC Liefering | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 13 |
| 10 | SW Bregenz | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 11 |
| 11 | St Polten | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
| 12 | ASK Voitsberg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 9 |
| 13 | Sturm Graz II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 8 |
| 14 | Hertha Wels | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 8 |
| 15 | Rapid Vienna II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 7 |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SV Kapfenberg | St Polten |
|---|---|---|
| FK Austria Vienna II | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Blau Weiss Linz | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| SV Austria Salzburg | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Wacker Innsbruck | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| SW Bregenz | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| FC Liefering | 0-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: St Polten (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SV Kapfenberg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Sturm Graz II Austria 2. Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/10 | FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 18/09 | SKU Amstetten Austria 2. Liga |
1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/09 | Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 28/08 | FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria 2. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 08/08 | SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 31/07 | FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
St Polten
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Rapid Vienna II Austria 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 3 | D |
| 09/10 | First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 13/09 | FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 21/08 | FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 31/07 | Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 14/05 | Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SV Kapfenberg vs St Polten?
According to our model, the most likely result is an St Polten win (52%). Probabilities: SV Kapfenberg 22%, draw 26%, St Polten 52%.
How many goals are expected in SV Kapfenberg vs St Polten?
The model expects 2.53 goals (SV Kapfenberg 0.94 · St Polten 1.59), with a 60% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in SV Kapfenberg vs St Polten?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.