Football · Austria 2. Liga · 31/07, 18:30

Prediction: ASK Voitsberg vs SKU Amstetten

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

ASK Voitsberg1.64

SKU Amstetten1.58

1X2

38% 26% 36%

ASK Voitsberg Draw SKU Amstetten

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

ASK Voitsberg 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

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SKU Amstetten 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

ASK Voitsberg 1–1 SKU Amstetten (2 last)

SKU Amstetten0-3ASK Voitsberg
ASK Voitsberg1-2SKU Amstetten

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASK Voitsberg 1628 · SKU Amstetten 1500

	ASK Voitsberg	Draw	SKU Amstetten
Our model	39%	25%	36%
Market	38%	27%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ASK Voitsberg (rating 1628 vs 1500).
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ASK Voitsberg	SKU Amstetten
Goals for / against (FT)	3.8 / 0.7	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	2 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.7	2.2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.40

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 1 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.38▼	Bet365 2.38
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.71
2	2.30 → 2.55▲	Pinn 2.80 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:00 +8’	2.63	3.40	2.30
12:59 +8’	2.38▼	3.40	2.55▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:07 +1’	2.23	3.68	2.80
14:07	2.27▲	3.71▲	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ASK Voitsberg 1–0–1 SKU Amstetten

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/12/24 Austria 2. Liga	SKU Amstetten	0-3 HT 0-2	ASK Voitsberg
02/08/24 Austria 2. Liga	ASK Voitsberg	1-2 HT 1-0	SKU Amstetten

Standings · Austria 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ASK Voitsberg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Blau Weiss Linz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Floridsdorfer AC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Admira Wacker	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hertha Wels	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Liefering	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	First Vienna FC 1894	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Kapfenberg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rapid Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SW Bregenz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	St Polten	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SKU Amstetten	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sturm Graz II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Austria Salzburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Wacker Innsbruck	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Austria Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

ASK Voitsberg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Leoben DSV Austria Cup	5-0	6-0	8	0	W
18/07	Hartberg Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
18/07	NK Bistrica Europe Friendlies	2-2	5-4	7	2	W
11/07	Austria Klagenfurt Europe Friendlies	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
03/07	SV Wildon Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-0	9	1	W
05/06	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga Mitte	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
29/05	Union Dietach Austria Regionalliga Mitte	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
22/05	LASK Linz II Austria Regionalliga Mitte	4-0	7-0	–	–	W
15/05	SV Lafnitz Austria Regionalliga Mitte	2-1	3-1	1	3	W
08/05	FC Gleisdorf 09 Austria Regionalliga Mitte	2-0	6-0	6	3	W

SKU Amstetten

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Deutschlandsberger SC Austria Cup	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
17/07	Kremser SC Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
10/07	SK Artis Brno Europe Friendlies	1-2	2-2	6	1	D
30/06	FC Silon Taborsko Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
25/06	Crvena Zvezda Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-2	7	2	L
14/05	Austria Lustenau Austria 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	7	L
08/05	Austria Klagenfurt Austria 2. Liga	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
24/04	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
17/04	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	0-3	0-5	3	4	L
10/04	SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga	0-1	2-3	7	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASK Voitsberg vs SKU Amstetten?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASK Voitsberg win (38%). Probabilities: ASK Voitsberg 38%, draw 26%, SKU Amstetten 36%.

How many goals are expected in ASK Voitsberg vs SKU Amstetten?

The model expects 3.22 goals (ASK Voitsberg 1.64 · SKU Amstetten 1.58), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in ASK Voitsberg vs SKU Amstetten?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.