Football · Romania Liga I · 20/07, 20:30
Prediction: Rapid Bucuresti vs ACS Sepsi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Rapid Bucuresti1.44
ACS Sepsi0.74
1X2
Rapid Bucuresti
Draw
ACS Sepsi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Rapid Bucuresti
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
ACS Sepsi
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rapid Bucuresti
0–3–3
ACS Sepsi
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rapid Bucuresti 1464 · ACS Sepsi 1547
| Rapid Bucuresti | Draw | ACS Sepsi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 29% | 18% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ACS Sepsi (rating 1464 vs 1547).
- H2H favours ACS Sepsi: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rapid Bucuresti | ACS Sepsi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.7 | 1.1 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rapid Bucuresti 0–3–3 ACS Sepsi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/24 Romania Liga I | ACS Sepsi | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Rapid Bucuresti |
| 05/08/24 Romania Liga I | Rapid Bucuresti | 2-2 HT 2-1 | ACS Sepsi |
| 10/05/24 Romania Liga I | ACS Sepsi | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Rapid Bucuresti |
| 15/04/24 Romania Liga I | Rapid Bucuresti | 0-1 HT 0-0 | ACS Sepsi |
| 10/11/23 Romania Liga I | ACS Sepsi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Rapid Bucuresti |
| 14/07/23 Romania Liga I | Rapid Bucuresti | 0-0 HT 0-0 | ACS Sepsi |
Standings · Romania Liga I
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Arges Pitesti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ACS Sepsi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Otelul Galati | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CS U Craiova | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Botosani | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CFR Cluj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CS Corvinul Hunedoara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dinamo Bucharest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Farul Constanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Universitatea Cluj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ACS UTA Batrana Doamna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FCSB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rapid Bucuresti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Voluntari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rapid Bucuresti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Slovan Liberec Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | FC Kosice Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Rapid Vienna Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 02/07 | Dynamo Kiev Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | CS U Craiova Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 15/05 | FC Arges Pitesti Romania Liga I |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 09/05 | Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga I |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | CFR Cluj Romania Liga I |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Dinamo Bucharest Romania Liga I |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | CS U Craiova Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
ACS Sepsi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 12/05 | FC Voluntari Romania Liga 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/05 | CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/04 | FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 15/04 | FC Voluntari Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 11/04 | CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rapid Bucuresti vs ACS Sepsi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rapid Bucuresti win (54%). Probabilities: Rapid Bucuresti 54%, draw 27%, ACS Sepsi 19%.
How many goals are expected in Rapid Bucuresti vs ACS Sepsi?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Rapid Bucuresti 1.44 · ACS Sepsi 0.74), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Rapid Bucuresti vs ACS Sepsi?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.