Football · Romania Liga I · 26/07, 17:30
Prediction: ACS Sepsi vs Universitatea Cluj
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.11Total
ACS Sepsi1.03
Universitatea Cluj1.08
1X2
ACS Sepsi
Draw
Universitatea Cluj
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
ACS Sepsi
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Universitatea Cluj
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ACS Sepsi
0–4–2
Universitatea Cluj
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ACS Sepsi 1520 · Universitatea Cluj 1467
| ACS Sepsi | Draw | Universitatea Cluj | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 33% | 35% |
| Market | 34% | 29% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ACS Sepsi (rating 1520 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Universitatea Cluj: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ACS Sepsi | Universitatea Cluj | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.1 | 2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ACS Sepsi 0–4–2 Universitatea Cluj
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/25 Romania Cup | ACS Sepsi | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Universitatea Cluj |
| 20/12/24 Romania Liga I | ACS Sepsi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Universitatea Cluj |
| 19/08/24 Romania Liga I | Universitatea Cluj | 3-0 HT 1-0 | ACS Sepsi |
| 25/02/24 Romania Liga I | ACS Sepsi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Universitatea Cluj |
| 09/10/23 Romania Liga I | Universitatea Cluj | 1-0 HT 0-0 | ACS Sepsi |
| 24/05/23 Romania Cup | ACS Sepsi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Universitatea Cluj |
Standings · Romania Liga I
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS U Craiova | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | CS Corvinul Hunedoara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | FCSB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Otelul Galati | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Universitatea Cluj | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Rapid Bucuresti | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Botosani | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | FC Voluntari | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | CFR Cluj | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Farul Constanta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | ACS Sepsi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Dinamo Bucharest | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | FC Arges Pitesti | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | ACS UTA Batrana Doamna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ACS Sepsi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Rapid Bucuresti Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 12/05 | FC Voluntari Romania Liga 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/05 | CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/04 | FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 15/04 | FC Voluntari Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 11/04 | CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Universitatea Cluj
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Farul Constanta Romania Liga I |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 16/07 | Dynamo Kiev UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 12/07 | CS U Craiova Romania Supercup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/07 | Dynamo Kiev UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 03/07 | Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/07 | Vojvodina Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 02/07 | Vojvodina Club Friendly List |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Ujpest Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | Dinamo Bucharest Romania Liga I |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | CS U Craiova Romania Liga I |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ACS Sepsi vs Universitatea Cluj?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Universitatea Cluj win (36%). Probabilities: ACS Sepsi 33%, draw 31%, Universitatea Cluj 36%.
How many goals are expected in ACS Sepsi vs Universitatea Cluj?
The model expects 2.11 goals (ACS Sepsi 1.03 · Universitatea Cluj 1.08), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in ACS Sepsi vs Universitatea Cluj?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.