Football · Romania Liga I · 18/10, 20:00
Prediction: CS U Craiova vs Farul Constanta
Team pages: CS U Craiova · Farul Constanta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
CS U Craiova2.12
Farul Constanta0.91
1X2
CS U Craiova
Draw
Farul Constanta
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
CS U Craiova
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Farul Constanta
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CS U Craiova
2–1–3
Farul Constanta
(6 last)
- Farul Constanta4-1CS U Craiova
- CS U Craiova2-0Farul Constanta
- CS U Craiova1-0Farul Constanta
- Farul Constanta3-2CS U Craiova
- Farul Constanta3-3CS U Craiova
- CS U Craiova1-2Farul Constanta
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CS U Craiova 1577 · Farul Constanta 1538
| CS U Craiova | Draw | Farul Constanta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 22% | 14% |
| Market | 64% | 23% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Farul Constanta: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CS U Craiova | Farul Constanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 1.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CS U Craiova 2–1–3 Farul Constanta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Romania Liga I | Farul Constanta | 4-1 HT 3-0 | CS U Craiova |
| 14/09/25 Romania Liga I | CS U Craiova | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Farul Constanta |
| 01/03/25 Romania Liga I | CS U Craiova | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Farul Constanta |
| 28/10/24 Romania Liga I | Farul Constanta | 3-2 HT 2-0 | CS U Craiova |
| 13/05/24 Romania Liga I | Farul Constanta | 3-3 HT 1-0 | CS U Craiova |
| 12/04/24 Romania Liga I | CS U Craiova | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Farul Constanta |
Standings · Romania Liga I
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucharest | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 29 |
| 2 | Rapid Bucuresti | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | CS U Craiova | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 19 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 18 |
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 17 |
| 7 | CS Corvinul Hunedoara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | CFR Cluj | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 16 |
| 9 | FCSB | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Botosani | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 14 |
| 11 | ACS Sepsi | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 13 |
| 12 | ACS UTA Batrana Doamna | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 12 |
| 13 | Otelul Galati | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 11 |
| 14 | FC Arges Pitesti | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 8 |
| 16 | FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 25 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CS U Craiova | Farul Constanta |
|---|---|---|
| FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| FCSB | 5-0 W | 2-2 D |
| CS Corvinul Hunedoara | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| FC Arges Pitesti | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Petrolul Ploiesti | 4-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Dinamo Bucharest | 1-5 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CS U Craiova
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | FCSB Romania Liga I |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 07/09 | Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | Rapid Bucuresti Romania Liga I |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 23/08 | FC Voluntari Romania Liga I |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Otelul Galati Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 09/08 | FC Arges Pitesti Romania Liga I |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Petrolul Ploiesti Romania Liga I |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Dinamo Bucharest Romania Liga I |
0-2 | 1-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
Farul Constanta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Petrolul Ploiesti Romania Liga I |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Dinamo Bucharest Romania Liga I |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/09 | ACS UTA Batrana Doamna Romania Liga I |
3-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | CFR Cluj Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | FC Botosani Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 23/08 | ACS Sepsi Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 14/08 | FC Arges Pitesti Romania Liga I |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Romania Liga I |
3-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 03/08 | FCSB Romania Liga I |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CS U Craiova vs Farul Constanta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CS U Craiova win (64%). Probabilities: CS U Craiova 64%, draw 22%, Farul Constanta 14%.
How many goals are expected in CS U Craiova vs Farul Constanta?
The model expects 3.03 goals (CS U Craiova 2.12 · Farul Constanta 0.91), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CS U Craiova vs Farul Constanta?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.