Football · Romania Liga I · 09/11, 19:00

Prediction: FC Botosani vs Otelul Galati

Team pages: FC Botosani · Otelul Galati

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

FC Botosani1.48

Otelul Galati1.12

1X2

44% 28% 28%

FC Botosani Draw Otelul Galati

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Botosani 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDWDLWLLL

Otelul Galati 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DWDLLLLDLD

Head-to-head

FC Botosani 1–3–2 Otelul Galati (6 last)

FC Botosani1-1Otelul Galati
FC Botosani0-0Otelul Galati
Otelul Galati0-1FC Botosani
FC Botosani0-1Otelul Galati
Otelul Galati0-0FC Botosani
FC Botosani2-3Otelul Galati

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Botosani 1474 · Otelul Galati 1444

	FC Botosani	Draw	Otelul Galati
Our model	44%	28%	27%
Market	44%	28%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Otelul Galati: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Botosani	Otelul Galati
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.7	2.1 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.5	4.6 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.25

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.09
X	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.55 ★
2	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.9% Pinnacle margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
07:17 +1’	2.05	3.25	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:15 +6’	2.09	3.55	3.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Botosani 1–3–2 Otelul Galati

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Romania Liga I	FC Botosani	1-1 HT 0-0	Otelul Galati
02/02/26 Romania Liga I	FC Botosani	0-0 HT 0-0	Otelul Galati
14/09/25 Romania Liga I	Otelul Galati	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Botosani
14/04/25 Romania Liga I	FC Botosani	0-1 HT 0-1	Otelul Galati
08/11/24 Romania Liga I	Otelul Galati	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Botosani
15/07/24 Romania Liga I	FC Botosani	2-3 HT 1-1	Otelul Galati

Standings · Romania Liga I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dinamo Bucharest	14	10	3	1	31	9	33
2	CS U Craiova	14	10	2	2	34	10	32
3	Rapid Bucuresti	14	9	3	2	23	13	30
4	Universitatea Cluj	14	8	1	5	26	20	25
5	Petrolul Ploiesti	14	7	3	4	19	18	24
6	Farul Constanta	14	6	5	3	23	21	23
7	FCSB	14	6	3	5	20	20	21
8	CS Corvinul Hunedoara	14	5	4	5	16	16	19
9	CFR Cluj	14	5	3	6	20	21	18
10	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna	14	5	3	6	16	19	18
11	ACS Sepsi	14	3	6	5	9	19	15
12	FC Botosani	14	3	5	6	18	19	14
13	Otelul Galati	14	2	6	6	16	22	12
14	FC Arges Pitesti	14	3	3	8	8	16	12
15	FC Voluntari	14	2	2	10	14	31	8
16	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	14	1	2	11	9	28	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Botosani	Otelul Galati
CS U Craiova	1-2 L	1-1 D
FC Arges Pitesti	1-1 D	1-0 W
ACS Sepsi	5-0 W	1-1 D
Farul Constanta	0-0 D	3-4 L
FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	1-0 W	1-1 D
FCSB	2-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Botosani (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Botosani

LWDWDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	CS U Craiova Romania Liga I	0-2	1-2	5	2	L
23/10	Petrolul Ploiesti Romania Liga I	0-2	1-3	2	8	L
16/10	Dinamo Bucharest Romania Liga I	0-0	0-2	4	7	L
10/10	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna Romania Liga I	2-0	2-0	7	6	W
19/09	CFR Cluj Romania Liga I	0-2	1-3	1	3	L
13/09	FC Arges Pitesti Romania Liga I	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
05/09	ACS Sepsi Romania Liga I	4-0	5-0	6	3	W
30/08	Farul Constanta Romania Liga I	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
24/08	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Romania Liga I	0-0	1-0	10	8	W
17/08	FCSB Romania Liga I	1-1	2-3	5	6	L

Otelul Galati

DWDLLLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	ACS Sepsi Romania Liga I	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
25/10	Farul Constanta Romania Liga I	0-3	3-4	7	3	L
16/10	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Romania Liga I	1-0	1-1	10	7	D
10/10	FCSB Romania Liga I	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
21/09	CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga I	0-1	2-3	8	11	L
14/09	Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga I	0-1	0-3	4	6	L
06/09	Rapid Bucuresti Romania Liga I	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
28/08	FC Voluntari Romania Liga I	1-2	2-2	8	1	D
24/08	FC Arges Pitesti Romania Liga I	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
16/08	CS U Craiova Romania Liga I	0-0	1-1	4	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Botosani vs Otelul Galati?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Botosani win (44%). Probabilities: FC Botosani 44%, draw 28%, Otelul Galati 28%.

How many goals are expected in FC Botosani vs Otelul Galati?

The model expects 2.6 goals (FC Botosani 1.48 · Otelul Galati 1.12), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Botosani vs Otelul Galati?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.