Football · Sweden 2.div Norrland · 27/09, 13:00

Prediction: Lucksta IF vs Täfteå IK

Team pages: Lucksta IF · Täfteå IK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.78Total

Lucksta IF1.91

Täfteå IK1.87

1X2

39% 23% 37%

Lucksta IF Draw Täfteå IK

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Lucksta IF 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLDWLL

Täfteå IK 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLLWW

Head-to-head

Lucksta IF 1–1–4 Täfteå IK (6 last)

Täfteå IK4-1Lucksta IF
Täfteå IK4-2Lucksta IF
Lucksta IF1-3Täfteå IK
Lucksta IF5-1Täfteå IK
Täfteå IK0-0Lucksta IF
Täfteå IK3-1Lucksta IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lucksta IF 1422 · Täfteå IK 1490

	Lucksta IF	Draw	Täfteå IK
Our model	39%	23%	38%
Market	39%	24%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Täfteå IK (rating 1422 vs 1490).
H2H favours Täfteå IK: 4-1-1.
High corners: 13 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lucksta IF	Täfteå IK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.2	1.7 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	0.5 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 7	3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0 / 0	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.75

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:24 +9’	2.30	3.75	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucksta IF 1–1–4 Täfteå IK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Sweden 2.div Norrland	Täfteå IK	4-1 HT 2-1	Lucksta IF
18/10/25 Sweden 2.div Norrland	Täfteå IK	4-2 HT 3-1	Lucksta IF
06/09/25 Sweden 2.div Norrland	Lucksta IF	1-3 HT 1-0	Täfteå IK
24/05/25 Sweden 2.div Norrland	Lucksta IF	5-1 HT 1-0	Täfteå IK
17/05/25 Sweden 2.div Norrland	Täfteå IK	0-0 HT 0-0	Lucksta IF
21/09/24 Sweden 2.div Norrland	Täfteå IK	3-1 HT 2-0	Lucksta IF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norrland · Norrland, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kubikenborgs IF	10	8	0	2	27	12	24
2	Skellefteå FF	10	5	3	2	19	15	18
3	IFK Luleå	10	6	0	4	15	14	18
4	IFK Östersund	10	5	2	3	26	16	17
5	Bodens BK FF	10	4	2	4	13	20	14
6	Täfteå IK	10	4	0	6	17	21	12
7	Lucksta IF	10	2	1	7	13	22	7
8	Gottne IF	10	1	2	7	13	23	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lucksta IF	Täfteå IK
IFK Luleå	1-3 L	1-2 L
Kubikenborgs IF	2-4 L	1-3 L
Gottne IF	4-2 W	3-1 W
IFK Östersund	0-1 L	2-1 W
Skellefteå FF	0-3 L	2-1 W
Bodens BK FF	3-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Täfteå IK (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lucksta IF

WLLLLLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	IFK Luleå Sweden 2.div Norrland	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
16/09	Kubikenborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norrland	1-2	2-4	7	0	L
12/09	Gottne IF Sweden 2.div Norrland	3-0	4-2	–	–	W
05/09	Gottne IF Sweden 2.div Norrland	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
30/08	IFK Luleå Sweden 2.div Norrland	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Täfteå IK Sweden 2.div Norrland	1-2	1-4	–	–	L
16/08	IFK Östersund Sweden 2.div Norrland	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
12/08	Kubikenborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norrland	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
08/08	Skellefteå FF Sweden 2.div Norrland	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
01/08	Bodens BK FF Sweden 2.div Norrland	1-0	3-0	–	–	W

Täfteå IK

WLLLWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	IFK Östersund Sweden 2.div Norrland	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
16/09	Skellefteå FF Sweden 2.div Norrland	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	IFK Luleå Sweden 2.div Norrland	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	IFK Luleå Sweden 2.div Norrland	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
30/08	IFK Östersund Sweden 2.div Norrland	1-2	2-6	–	–	L
22/08	Lucksta IF Sweden 2.div Norrland	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
15/08	Kubikenborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norrland	0-3	1-3	–	–	L
12/08	Skellefteå FF Sweden 2.div Norrland	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
08/08	Bodens BK FF Sweden 2.div Norrland	1-2	1-2	6	1	L
01/08	Gottne IF Sweden 2.div Norrland	0-1	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lucksta IF vs Täfteå IK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lucksta IF win (39%). Probabilities: Lucksta IF 39%, draw 23%, Täfteå IK 37%.

How many goals are expected in Lucksta IF vs Täfteå IK?

The model expects 3.78 goals (Lucksta IF 1.91 · Täfteå IK 1.87), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Lucksta IF vs Täfteå IK?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.