Football · Sweden 2.div Norrland · 16/09, 19:00

Prediction: Kubikenborgs IF vs Lucksta IF

Team pages: Kubikenborgs IF · Lucksta IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.51Total

Kubikenborgs IF2.44

Lucksta IF1.08

1X2

67% 19% 15%

Kubikenborgs IF Draw Lucksta IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Kubikenborgs IF 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DLLLWWWWWW

Lucksta IF 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLLDW

Head-to-head

Kubikenborgs IF 4–1 Lucksta IF (5 last)

Lucksta IF1-3Kubikenborgs IF
Kubikenborgs IF3-1Lucksta IF
Lucksta IF1-0Kubikenborgs IF
Lucksta IF1-2Kubikenborgs IF
Kubikenborgs IF2-1Lucksta IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kubikenborgs IF 1561 · Lucksta IF 1440

	Kubikenborgs IF	Draw	Lucksta IF
Our model	66%	19%	14%
Market	67%	18%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kubikenborgs IF (rating 1561 vs 1440).
H2H favours Kubikenborgs IF: 4-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kubikenborgs IF	Lucksta IF
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.3	1.2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.5	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 4	0.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.33▼	Bet365 1.33
X	4.33 → 5.00▲	Bet365 5.00
2	4.33 → 6.00▲	Pinn 6.56 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:26 +5’	1.53	4.33	4.33
14:02 +18’	1.33▼	5.00▲	6.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:12 +16’	1.46	4.26	4.78
13:24 +56’	1.29▼	4.91▲	6.74▲
15:11 +97’	1.30▲	4.82▼	6.56▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kubikenborgs IF 4–0–1 Lucksta IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/08/26 Sweden 2.div Norrland	Lucksta IF	1-3 HT 1-1	Kubikenborgs IF
11/06/26 Sweden 2.div Norrland	Kubikenborgs IF	3-1 HT 2-0	Lucksta IF
04/05/26 Sweden 2.div Norrland	Lucksta IF	1-0 HT 1-0	Kubikenborgs IF
25/06/25 Sweden 2.div Norrland	Lucksta IF	1-2 HT 1-0	Kubikenborgs IF
14/05/25 Sweden 2.div Norrland	Kubikenborgs IF	2-1 HT 0-1	Lucksta IF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norrland · Norrland, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kubikenborgs IF	8	6	0	2	19	9	18
2	Skellefteå FF	8	4	3	1	16	13	15
3	IFK Luleå	8	5	0	3	12	12	15
4	IFK Östersund	8	4	2	2	21	14	14
5	Bodens BK FF	8	3	2	3	12	18	11
6	Lucksta IF	8	2	1	5	10	15	7
7	Täfteå IK	8	2	0	6	13	19	6
8	Gottne IF	8	1	2	5	12	15	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kubikenborgs IF	Lucksta IF
Bodens BK FF	6-1 W	3-0 W
Gottne IF	1-0 W	4-2 W
IFK Luleå	3-1 W	0-1 L
Täfteå IK	3-1 W	1-4 L
IFK Östersund	0-2 L	0-1 L
Skellefteå FF	1-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Kubikenborgs IF (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kubikenborgs IF

DLLLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Bodens BK FF Sweden 2.div Norrland	5-0	6-1	–	–	W
05/09	Bodens BK FF Sweden 2.div Norrland	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
27/08	Gottne IF Sweden 2.div Norrland	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
22/08	IFK Luleå Sweden 2.div Norrland	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	Täfteå IK Sweden 2.div Norrland	3-0	3-1	–	–	W
12/08	Lucksta IF Sweden 2.div Norrland	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
08/08	IFK Östersund Sweden 2.div Norrland	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
01/08	Skellefteå FF Sweden 2.div Norrland	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
18/06	Gottne IF Sweden 2.div Norrland	1-2	2-3	5	1	L
14/06	IFK Östersund Sweden 2.div Norrland	0-0	1-1	3	5	D

Lucksta IF

LLWLLLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Gottne IF Sweden 2.div Norrland	3-0	4-2	–	–	W
05/09	Gottne IF Sweden 2.div Norrland	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
30/08	IFK Luleå Sweden 2.div Norrland	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Täfteå IK Sweden 2.div Norrland	1-2	1-4	–	–	L
16/08	IFK Östersund Sweden 2.div Norrland	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
12/08	Kubikenborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norrland	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
08/08	Skellefteå FF Sweden 2.div Norrland	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
01/08	Bodens BK FF Sweden 2.div Norrland	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
14/06	Umeå FF Sweden 2.div Norrland	1-0	1-5	4	7	L
11/06	Kubikenborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norrland	0-2	1-3	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kubikenborgs IF vs Lucksta IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kubikenborgs IF win (67%). Probabilities: Kubikenborgs IF 67%, draw 19%, Lucksta IF 15%.

How many goals are expected in Kubikenborgs IF vs Lucksta IF?

The model expects 3.51 goals (Kubikenborgs IF 2.44 · Lucksta IF 1.08), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kubikenborgs IF vs Lucksta IF?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.