Football · Romania Liga I · 19/07, 18:30
Prediction: Petrolul Ploiesti vs Dinamo Bucharest
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Petrolul Ploiesti1.12
Dinamo Bucharest1.48
1X2
Petrolul Ploiesti
Draw
Dinamo Bucharest
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Petrolul Ploiesti
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Dinamo Bucharest
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Petrolul Ploiesti
0–3–3
Dinamo Bucharest
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petrolul Ploiesti 1453 · Dinamo Bucharest 1520
| Petrolul Ploiesti | Draw | Dinamo Bucharest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 28% | 44% |
| Market | 27% | 30% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Bucharest (rating 1453 vs 1520).
- H2H favours Dinamo Bucharest: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Petrolul Ploiesti | Dinamo Bucharest | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.1 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.8 | 1.7 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Petrolul Ploiesti 0–3–3 Dinamo Bucharest
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/26 Romania Liga I | Dinamo Bucharest | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Petrolul Ploiesti |
| 15/09/25 Romania Liga I | Petrolul Ploiesti | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Dinamo Bucharest |
| 18/12/24 Romania Cup | Dinamo Bucharest | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Petrolul Ploiesti |
| 24/11/24 Romania Liga I | Petrolul Ploiesti | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Dinamo Bucharest |
| 21/07/24 Romania Liga I | Dinamo Bucharest | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Petrolul Ploiesti |
| 01/04/24 Romania Liga I | Dinamo Bucharest | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Petrolul Ploiesti |
Standings · Romania Liga I
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Arges Pitesti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ACS Sepsi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Otelul Galati | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CS U Craiova | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Botosani | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CFR Cluj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CS Corvinul Hunedoara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dinamo Bucharest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Farul Constanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Universitatea Cluj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ACS UTA Batrana Doamna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FCSB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rapid Bucuresti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Voluntari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petrolul Ploiesti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Chindia Targoviste Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 10/07 | ASA Targu Mures Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 03/07 | Arka Gdynia Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 02/07 | Chojniczanka Chojnice Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 30/06 | Olimpia Grudziadz Europe Friendlies |
1-4 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/05 | Otelul Galati Romania Liga I |
1-3 | 1-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Botosani Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | ACS UTA Batrana Doamna Romania Liga I |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 24/04 | FCSB Romania Liga I |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 19/04 | AFC Hermannstadt Romania Liga I |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
Dinamo Bucharest
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Farul Constanta Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 01/07 | LKS Lodz Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Motor Lublin Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Gornik Leczna Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | FCSB Romania Liga I |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 12 | D |
| 23/05 | Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga I |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 16/05 | CFR Cluj Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | FC Arges Pitesti Romania Liga I |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | CS U Craiova Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Rapid Bucuresti Romania Liga I |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Dinamo Bucharest?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dinamo Bucharest win (44%). Probabilities: Petrolul Ploiesti 27%, draw 29%, Dinamo Bucharest 44%.
How many goals are expected in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Dinamo Bucharest?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Petrolul Ploiesti 1.12 · Dinamo Bucharest 1.48), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Dinamo Bucharest?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.