Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 16/08, 20:00
Prediction: OFK Petrovac vs FK Jezero
Team pages: OFK Petrovac · FK Jezero
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.99Total
OFK Petrovac1.3
FK Jezero0.69
1X2
OFK Petrovac
Draw
FK Jezero
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
OFK Petrovac
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
FK Jezero
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
OFK Petrovac
3–3–0
FK Jezero
(6 last)
- FK Jezero1-1OFK Petrovac
- OFK Petrovac2-1FK Jezero
- FK Jezero1-3OFK Petrovac
- OFK Petrovac1-1FK Jezero
- FK Jezero1-1OFK Petrovac
- OFK Petrovac2-1FK Jezero
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · OFK Petrovac 1490 · FK Jezero 1478
| OFK Petrovac | Draw | FK Jezero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 31% | 19% |
| Market | 51% | 29% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.99 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours OFK Petrovac: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| OFK Petrovac | FK Jezero | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.7 | 2.3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · OFK Petrovac 3–3–0 FK Jezero
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Jezero | 1-1 HT 1-0 | OFK Petrovac |
| 21/02/26 Montenegro Prva Liga | OFK Petrovac | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FK Jezero |
| 05/10/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Jezero | 1-3 HT 0-2 | OFK Petrovac |
| 10/08/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | OFK Petrovac | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FK Jezero |
| 26/04/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Jezero | 1-1 HT 1-1 | OFK Petrovac |
| 02/03/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | OFK Petrovac | 2-1 HT 2-1 | FK Jezero |
Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Bokelj | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | FK Decic Tuzi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | FK Jezero | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | OFK Mladost DG | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Buducnost Podgorica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | FK Arsenal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | FK Mornar Bar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | OFK Petrovac | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Sutjeska Niksic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | OFK Petrovac | FK Jezero |
|---|---|---|
| FK Mornar Bar | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| OFK Mladost DG | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
OFK Petrovac
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 01/08 | FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 16/07 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/07 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 01/07 | FK Mornar Bar Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | FK Macva Sabac Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 20/05 | FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
FK Jezero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/06 | FK Iskra Danilovgrad Montenegro Prva Liga Play-Offs |
2-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | FK Iskra Danilovgrad Montenegro Prva Liga Play-Offs |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/05 | FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Cup |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in OFK Petrovac vs FK Jezero?
According to our model, the most likely result is a OFK Petrovac win (51%). Probabilities: OFK Petrovac 51%, draw 30%, FK Jezero 19%.
How many goals are expected in OFK Petrovac vs FK Jezero?
The model expects 1.99 goals (OFK Petrovac 1.3 · FK Jezero 0.69), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in OFK Petrovac vs FK Jezero?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.