Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 15/08, 20:00
Prediction: Sutjeska Niksic vs Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
Team pages: Sutjeska Niksic · Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.99Total
Sutjeska Niksic1.27
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj0.72
1X2
Sutjeska Niksic
Draw
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Sutjeska Niksic
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sutjeska Niksic
3–2–0
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
(5 last)
- Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj1-1Sutjeska Niksic
- Sutjeska Niksic2-0Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
- Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj0-2Sutjeska Niksic
- Sutjeska Niksic0-0Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
- Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj1-3Sutjeska Niksic
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sutjeska Niksic 1395 · Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj 1521
| Sutjeska Niksic | Draw | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 32% | 20% |
| Market | 51% | 27% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj (rating 1395 vs 1521).
- H2H favours Sutjeska Niksic: 3-2-0.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sutjeska Niksic | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.9 | 3.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sutjeska Niksic 3–2–0 Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Europe Friendlies | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Sutjeska Niksic |
| 14/05/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | Sutjeska Niksic | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj |
| 16/03/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sutjeska Niksic |
| 10/11/24 Montenegro Prva Liga | Sutjeska Niksic | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj |
| 14/09/24 Montenegro Prva Liga | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Sutjeska Niksic |
Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Bokelj | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | FK Decic Tuzi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | FK Jezero | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | OFK Mladost DG | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Buducnost Podgorica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | FK Arsenal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | FK Mornar Bar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | OFK Petrovac | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Sutjeska Niksic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sutjeska Niksic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 03/08 | Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 30/07 | FC ML Vitebsk UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | FC ML Vitebsk UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 15/07 | Kairat Almaty UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 08/07 | Kairat Almaty UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 01/07 | FK Sarajevo Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | FK Mornar Bar Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/06 | Borac Banja Luka Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-3 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 02/08 | OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Vllaznia Shkoder Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 19/07 | FK Bokelj Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | FK Kom Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 20/05 | FK Grbalj Radanovici Montenegro Druga Liga |
2-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | FK Iskra Danilovgrad Montenegro Druga Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | FK Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | OFK Igalo Montenegro Druga Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sutjeska Niksic vs Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sutjeska Niksic win (50%). Probabilities: Sutjeska Niksic 50%, draw 29%, Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj 21%.
How many goals are expected in Sutjeska Niksic vs Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj?
The model expects 1.99 goals (Sutjeska Niksic 1.27 · Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj 0.72), with a 60% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sutjeska Niksic vs Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.