Football · Montenegro Druga Liga · 08/11, 13:00

Prediction: FK Podgorica vs FK Budva

Team pages: FK Podgorica · FK Budva

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
FK Podgorica2.1
FK Budva0.9
1X2
64% 22% 14%
FK Podgorica Draw FK Budva
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Podgorica 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DWWDWLWDWD
FK Budva 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DLLLDDDWDW
Head-to-head
FK Podgorica 1–0 FK Budva (1 last)
  • FK Budva1-2FK Podgorica
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Podgorica 1546 · FK Budva 1489
FK PodgoricaDrawFK Budva
Our model64%22%14%
Market64%21%14%
Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Podgorica (rating 1546 vs 1489).
  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FK PodgoricaFK Budva
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.31.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 0.30.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)83/17/0%29/43/29%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.71.7 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.34.6 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Podgorica 1–0–0 FK Budva

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/09/26
Montenegro Druga Liga
FK Budva1-2
HT 1-2
FK Podgorica

Standings · Montenegro Druga Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje 15924 281529
2 FK Podgorica 15771 241628
3 FK Zeta Golubovci 15663 241824
4 FK Kom Podgorica 14734 201524
5 FK Lovcen 15627 242520
6 FK Grbalj Radanovici 14545 162019
7 FK Budva 15465 242018
8 FK Rudar Pljevlja 15465 212218
9 FK Iskra Danilovgrad 15528 151817
10 Berane 151212 11385

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFK PodgoricaFK Budva
FK Zeta Golubovci 0-0 D 2-2 D
FK Iskra Danilovgrad 1-0 W 4-3 W
FK Rudar Pljevlja 1-1 D 0-0 D
FK Grbalj Radanovici 2-1 W 2-2 D
FK Kom Podgorica 2-3 L 1-1 D
FK Lovcen 2-1 W 1-2 L
FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje 1-1 D 0-2 L
Berane 3-2 W 4-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 3 D 1 L 2 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Podgorica (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Podgorica

DWWDWLWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/11 FK Zeta Golubovci
Montenegro Druga Liga
– 0-0 –– D
31/10 FK Iskra Danilovgrad
Montenegro Druga Liga
0-0 1-0 84 W
25/10 FK Rudar Pljevlja
Montenegro Druga Liga
1-0 1-1 36 D
17/10 FK Grbalj Radanovici
Montenegro Druga Liga
1-0 2-1 56 W
11/10 FK Kom Podgorica
Montenegro Druga Liga
– 2-3 –– L
06/10 FK Lovcen
Montenegro Druga Liga
– 2-1 –– W
30/09 FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje
Montenegro Druga Liga
– 1-1 –– D
26/09 Berane
Montenegro Druga Liga
2-1 3-2 95 W
21/09 FK Budva
Montenegro Druga Liga
2-1 2-1 48 W
17/09 FK Zeta Golubovci
Montenegro Druga Liga
3-0 3-3 53 D

FK Budva

DLLLDDDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/11 Berane
Montenegro Druga Liga
– 4-0 –– W
31/10 FK Zeta Golubovci
Montenegro Druga Liga
1-0 2-2 37 D
25/10 FK Iskra Danilovgrad
Montenegro Druga Liga
0-0 4-3 64 W
17/10 FK Rudar Pljevlja
Montenegro Druga Liga
0-0 0-0 55 D
10/10 FK Grbalj Radanovici
Montenegro Druga Liga
1-0 2-2 12 D
04/10 FK Kom Podgorica
Montenegro Druga Liga
0-1 1-1 76 D
30/09 FK Lovcen
Montenegro Druga Liga
1-1 1-2 113 L
26/09 FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje
Montenegro Druga Liga
– 0-2 –– L
21/09 FK Podgorica
Montenegro Druga Liga
1-2 1-2 48 L
16/09 Berane
Montenegro Druga Liga
– 1-1 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Podgorica vs FK Budva?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Podgorica win (64%). Probabilities: FK Podgorica 64%, draw 22%, FK Budva 14%.

How many goals are expected in FK Podgorica vs FK Budva?

The model expects 3 goals (FK Podgorica 2.1 · FK Budva 0.9), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Podgorica vs FK Budva?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.