Football · USA USL Super League Women · 12/10, 01:00
Prediction: Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) vs Lexington SC (W)
Team pages: Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) · Lexington SC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)0.84
Lexington SC (W)1.82
1X2
Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)
Draw
Lexington SC (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Lexington SC (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)
2–1–3
Lexington SC (W)
(6 last)
- Lexington SC (W)2-0Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)
- Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)1-3Lexington SC (W)
- Lexington SC (W)5-1Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)
- Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)3-3Lexington SC (W)
- Lexington SC (W)0-1Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)
- Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)2-0Lexington SC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) 1376 · Lexington SC (W) 1568
| Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) | Draw | Lexington SC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 25% | 59% |
| Market | 17% | 22% | 61% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lexington SC (W) (rating 1376 vs 1568).
- H2H favours Lexington SC (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) | Lexington SC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 2 | 1.6 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 2.9 | 1.9 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) 2–1–3 Lexington SC (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 USA USL Super League Women | Lexington SC (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) |
| 01/02/26 USA USL Super League Women | Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Lexington SC (W) |
| 17/10/25 USA USL Super League Women | Lexington SC (W) | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) |
| 24/08/25 USA USL Super League Women | Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) | 3-3 HT 1-0 | Lexington SC (W) |
| 17/05/25 USA USL Super League Women | Lexington SC (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) |
| 23/02/25 USA USL Super League Women | Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Lexington SC (W) |
Standings · USA USL Super League Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolina Ascent (W) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | DC Power (W) | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 3 | Sporting JAX (W) | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 11 |
| 4 | Lexington SC (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Dallas Trinity (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 10 |
| 6 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| 7 | Brooklyn (W) | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 6 |
| 8 | Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) | Lexington SC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Brooklyn (W) | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| DC Power (W) | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Dallas Trinity (W) | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Tampa Bay Sun (W) | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Carolina Ascent (W) | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Sporting JAX (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 6 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lexington SC (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Brooklyn (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/09 | DC Power (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Dallas Trinity (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Brooklyn (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Sporting JAX (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Dallas Trinity (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
Lexington SC (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 26/09 | Dallas Trinity (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Sporting JAX (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 12/09 | Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | DC Power (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Brooklyn (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Dallas Trinity (W) USA USL Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Brooklyn (W) USA USL Super League Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) vs Lexington SC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lexington SC (W) win (60%). Probabilities: Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) 17%, draw 23%, Lexington SC (W) 60%.
How many goals are expected in Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) vs Lexington SC (W)?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) 0.84 · Lexington SC (W) 1.82), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) vs Lexington SC (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.