Football · Belgium First Division B · 19/09, 20:00
Prediction: Eupen vs RFC Liege
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Eupen2.18
RFC Liege0.92
1X2
Eupen
Draw
RFC Liege
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Eupen
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
RFC Liege
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Eupen
3–3
RFC Liege
(6 last)
- RFC Liege2-1Eupen
- Eupen2-0RFC Liege
- Eupen0-1RFC Liege
- RFC Liege0-3Eupen
- Eupen0-1RFC Liege
- RFC Liege2-4Eupen
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eupen (rating 1595 vs 1461).
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Eupen | RFC Liege | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.2 | 3.5 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eupen 3–0–3 RFC Liege
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Belgium First Division B | RFC Liege | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Eupen |
| 09/08/25 Belgium First Division B | Eupen | 2-0 HT 0-0 | RFC Liege |
| 21/12/24 Belgium First Division B | Eupen | 0-1 HT 0-1 | RFC Liege |
| 18/08/24 Belgium First Division B | RFC Liege | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Eupen |
| 24/06/23 Europe Friendlies | Eupen | 0-1 HT 0-0 | RFC Liege |
| 18/07/15 Club Friendly List | RFC Liege | 2-4 HT 0-3 | Eupen |
Standings · Belgium First Division B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | FCV Dender EH | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Excelsior Virton | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Eupen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Francs Borains | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | KSC Lokeren Temse | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Sporting Hasselt | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 8 | Club Brugge II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Genk II | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 6 |
| 10 | RFC Liege | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 |
| 11 | Lierse Kempenzonen | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 5 |
| 12 | Gent II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
| 14 | RFC Seraing | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
| 15 | Anderlecht II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Eupen | RFC Liege |
|---|---|---|
| Genk II | 4-1 W | 3-2 W |
| KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk | 3-3 D | 0-1 L |
| Lierse Kempenzonen | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Gent II | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Eupen (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eupen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Club Brugge II Belgium First Division B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 21/08 | KSC Lokeren Temse Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | Genk II Belgium First Division B |
1-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/04 | RFC Liege Belgium First Division B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/04 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division B |
2-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 04/04 | Club Brugge II Belgium First Division B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/03 | RFC Seraing Belgium First Division B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 13/03 | Anderlecht II Belgium First Division B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 10/03 | Lierse Kempenzonen Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 06/03 | Gent II Belgium First Division B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
RFC Liege
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Lierse Kempenzonen Belgium First Division B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Genk II Belgium First Division B |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 17/08 | Francs Borains Belgium First Division B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 27/04 | Lommel Belgium First Division B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Eupen Belgium First Division B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Gent II Belgium First Division B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | ROC Charleroi Belgium First Division B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | SK Beveren Belgium First Division B |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 14/03 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eupen vs RFC Liege?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Eupen win (65%). Probabilities: Eupen 65%, draw 21%, RFC Liege 14%.
How many goals are expected in Eupen vs RFC Liege?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Eupen 2.18 · RFC Liege 0.92), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Eupen vs RFC Liege?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.