Football · Hungary NB I · 25/10, 15:30
Prediction: Puskas Academy vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
Team pages: Puskas Academy · Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
Puskas Academy1.79
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus1.27
1X2
Puskas Academy
Draw
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Puskas Academy
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puskas Academy
3–1–2
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
(6 last)
- Puskas Academy1-2Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
- Nyiregyhaza Spartacus1-1Puskas Academy
- Puskas Academy3-2Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
- Nyiregyhaza Spartacus0-2Puskas Academy
- Nyiregyhaza Spartacus1-0Puskas Academy
- Nyiregyhaza Spartacus0-3Puskas Academy
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puskas Academy 1561 · Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1476
| Puskas Academy | Draw | Nyiregyhaza Spartacus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Puskas Academy (rating 1561 vs 1476).
- H2H favours Puskas Academy: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Puskas Academy | Nyiregyhaza Spartacus | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.5 | 2.3 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.4 | 5.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puskas Academy 3–1–2 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Hungary NB I | Puskas Academy | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Nyiregyhaza Spartacus |
| 09/11/25 Hungary NB I | Nyiregyhaza Spartacus | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Puskas Academy |
| 03/08/25 Hungary NB I | Puskas Academy | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Nyiregyhaza Spartacus |
| 29/03/25 Hungary NB I | Nyiregyhaza Spartacus | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Puskas Academy |
| 25/02/25 Hungary Cup | Nyiregyhaza Spartacus | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Puskas Academy |
| 23/11/24 Hungary NB I | Nyiregyhaza Spartacus | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Puskas Academy |
Standings · Hungary NB I
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puskas Academy | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Gyori ETO | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | Vasas SC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 15 |
| 4 | Ujpest | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 15 |
| 5 | Paksi | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 14 |
| 6 | Ferencvarosi TC | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 14 |
| 7 | Debreceni VSC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 13 |
| 8 | MTK Budapest | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 12 |
| 9 | Kisvarda FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| 10 | Kispest Honved | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 10 |
| 11 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 9 |
| 12 | Nyiregyhaza Spartacus | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 8 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puskas Academy | Nyiregyhaza Spartacus |
|---|---|---|
| Ujpest | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Gyori ETO | 1-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Kispest Honved | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Zalaegerszegi TE | 0-1 L | 1-5 L |
| Ferencvarosi TC | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Vasas SC | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Paksi | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| MTK Budapest | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Kisvarda FC | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Debreceni VSC | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Puskas Academy (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puskas Academy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Ujpest Hungary NB I |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 11/10 | Gyori ETO Hungary NB I |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | Kispest Honved Hungary NB I |
2-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Vasas SC Hungary NB I |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Paksi Hungary NB I |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 07/08 | MTK Budapest Hungary NB I |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/07 | Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Kispest Honved Hungary NB I |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 11/10 | Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I |
1-0 | 1-5 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 04/09 | Vasas SC Hungary NB I |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 29/08 | Paksi Hungary NB I |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | MTK Budapest Hungary NB I |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/08 | Gyori ETO Hungary NB I |
0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 24/07 | Ujpest Hungary NB I |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puskas Academy vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Puskas Academy win (49%). Probabilities: Puskas Academy 49%, draw 26%, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 26%.
How many goals are expected in Puskas Academy vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Puskas Academy 1.79 · Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1.27), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Puskas Academy vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.