Football · Hungary NB I · 24/10, 19:30

Prediction: Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kisvarda FC

Team pages: Zalaegerszegi TE · Kisvarda FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.14Total

Zalaegerszegi TE1.84

Kisvarda FC1.3

1X2

49% 25% 26%

Zalaegerszegi TE Draw Kisvarda FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Zalaegerszegi TE 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLWLWL

Kisvarda FC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLDDWLDD

Head-to-head

Zalaegerszegi TE 2–1–3 Kisvarda FC (6 last)

Zalaegerszegi TE2-0Kisvarda FC
Kisvarda FC3-3Zalaegerszegi TE
Zalaegerszegi TE1-2Kisvarda FC
Kisvarda FC1-0Zalaegerszegi TE
Kisvarda FC0-1Zalaegerszegi TE
Zalaegerszegi TE0-2Kisvarda FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zalaegerszegi TE 1485 · Kisvarda FC 1501

	Zalaegerszegi TE	Draw	Kisvarda FC
Our model	49%	25%	26%
Market	49%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kisvarda FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zalaegerszegi TE	Kisvarda FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.1	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/0/70%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.1	1.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.70

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 07:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 1.91▼	Bet365 1.91
X	3.30 → 3.70▲	Pinn 3.82 ★
2	3.10 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 7.2% Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:21 +1’	2.05	3.30	3.10
17:21 +2’	1.90▼	3.40▲	3.50▲
11:16 +1’	1.90	3.50▲	3.40▼
15:23 +2’	1.95▲	3.60▲	3.50▲
07:10 +3’	1.91▼	3.70▲	3.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:03 +20’	2.07	3.40	3.33
17:46 +34’	2.02▼	3.69▲	3.32▼
07:03 +10’	1.88▼	3.82▲	3.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zalaegerszegi TE 2–1–3 Kisvarda FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Hungary NB I	Zalaegerszegi TE	2-0 HT 0-0	Kisvarda FC
14/12/25 Hungary NB I	Kisvarda FC	3-3 HT 2-2	Zalaegerszegi TE
30/08/25 Hungary NB I	Zalaegerszegi TE	1-2 HT 0-2	Kisvarda FC
02/03/24 Hungary NB I	Kisvarda FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Zalaegerszegi TE
05/11/23 Hungary NB I	Kisvarda FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Zalaegerszegi TE
30/07/23 Hungary NB I	Zalaegerszegi TE	0-2 HT 0-2	Kisvarda FC

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Puskas Academy	10	7	0	3	15	10	21
2	Gyori ETO	10	5	3	2	18	12	18
3	Vasas SC	10	4	3	3	18	13	15
4	Ujpest	10	4	3	3	18	15	15
5	Paksi	10	4	2	4	20	19	14
6	Ferencvarosi TC	9	3	5	1	13	10	14
7	Debreceni VSC	10	3	4	3	16	16	13
8	MTK Budapest	10	3	3	4	16	17	12
9	Kisvarda FC	10	2	5	3	11	12	11
10	Kispest Honved	9	2	4	3	13	15	10
11	Zalaegerszegi TE	10	3	0	7	12	21	9
12	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	10	2	2	6	10	20	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zalaegerszegi TE	Kisvarda FC
Debreceni VSC	0-3 L	0-0 D
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	5-1 W	1-2 L
Ujpest	1-2 L	2-4 L
Puskas Academy	1-0 W	2-0 W
Kispest Honved	0-1 L	1-1 D
Gyori ETO	0-3 L	1-1 D
Ferencvarosi TC	0-1 L	1-1 D
Vasas SC	0-5 L	1-1 D
Paksi	5-2 W	0-1 L
MTK Budapest	0-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 7 L	2 W 5 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kisvarda FC (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zalaegerszegi TE

LWLLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
11/10	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	0-1	5-1	3	6	W
20/09	Ujpest Hungary NB I	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
06/09	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
29/08	Kispest Honved Hungary NB I	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
23/08	Gyori ETO Hungary NB I	0-1	0-3	7	7	L
17/08	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
08/08	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	0-2	0-5	6	4	L
03/08	Paksi Hungary NB I	3-2	5-2	3	6	W
27/07	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	0-1	0-3	5	2	L

Kisvarda FC

DWLLDDWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
10/10	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
19/09	Paksi Hungary NB I	0-0	0-1	9	1	L
05/09	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	0-0	2-1	1	2	W
30/08	Gyori ETO Hungary NB I	1-1	1-1	8	6	D
23/08	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
15/08	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
08/08	Ujpest Hungary NB I	1-2	2-4	6	2	L
31/07	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
25/07	Kispest Honved Hungary NB I	0-0	1-1	1	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kisvarda FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zalaegerszegi TE win (49%). Probabilities: Zalaegerszegi TE 49%, draw 25%, Kisvarda FC 26%.

How many goals are expected in Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kisvarda FC?

The model expects 3.14 goals (Zalaegerszegi TE 1.84 · Kisvarda FC 1.3), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kisvarda FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.