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Football · Hungary NB I · 25/10, 18:00

Prediction: Ferencvarosi TC vs MTK Budapest

Team pages: Ferencvarosi TC · MTK Budapest

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.55Total
Ferencvarosi TC2.46
MTK Budapest1.09
1X2
67% 19% 14%
Ferencvarosi TC Draw MTK Budapest
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Ferencvarosi TC 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
WLDWWWDDDD
MTK Budapest 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WDLDWDLLLW
Head-to-head
Ferencvarosi TC 4–2–0 MTK Budapest (6 last)
  • MTK Budapest1-3Ferencvarosi TC
  • Ferencvarosi TC4-1MTK Budapest
  • MTK Budapest1-1Ferencvarosi TC
  • MTK Budapest2-3Ferencvarosi TC
  • Ferencvarosi TC3-1MTK Budapest
  • Ferencvarosi TC0-0MTK Budapest
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ferencvarosi TC 1627 · MTK Budapest 1480
Ferencvarosi TCDrawMTK Budapest
Our model67%19%14%
Market67%19%14%
Estimated total (ours) 3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferencvarosi TC (rating 1627 vs 1480).
  • H2H favours Ferencvarosi TC: 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ferencvarosi TCMTK Budapest
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 11.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.92.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.14.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferencvarosi TC 4–2–0 MTK Budapest

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/02/26
Hungary NB I
MTK Budapest1-3
HT 0-1
Ferencvarosi TC
01/11/25
Hungary NB I
Ferencvarosi TC4-1
HT 1-0
MTK Budapest
26/07/25
Hungary NB I
MTK Budapest1-1
HT 0-1
Ferencvarosi TC
27/04/25
Hungary NB I
MTK Budapest2-3
HT 0-3
Ferencvarosi TC
23/04/25
Hungary Cup
Ferencvarosi TC3-1
HT 1-1
MTK Budapest
02/02/25
Hungary NB I
Ferencvarosi TC0-0
HT 0-0
MTK Budapest

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Puskas Academy 10703 151021
2 Gyori ETO 10532 181218
3 Vasas SC 10433 181315
4 Ujpest 10433 181515
5 Paksi 10424 201914
6 Ferencvarosi TC 9351 131014
7 Debreceni VSC 10343 161613
8 MTK Budapest 10334 161712
9 Kisvarda FC 10253 111211
10 Kispest Honved 9243 131510
11 Zalaegerszegi TE 10307 12219
12 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 10226 10208

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFerencvarosi TCMTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC 1-1 D 1-2 L
Debreceni VSC 1-1 D 2-2 D
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-1 D 2-1 W
Ujpest 2-2 D 1-1 D
Gyori ETO 3-0 W 1-2 L
Puskas Academy 2-1 W 2-3 L
Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0 W 3-0 W
Vasas SC 0-0 D 1-0 W
Paksi 2-4 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 5 D 1 L 3 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Ferencvarosi TC (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ferencvarosi TC

WLDWWWDDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Kisvarda FC
Hungary NB I
 0-1 1-1 122 D
10/10 Debreceni VSC
Hungary NB I
 0-0 1-1 14 D
20/09 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
Hungary NB I
 0-1 1-1 76 D
06/09 Ujpest
Hungary NB I
 2-1 2-2 54 D
03/09 Gyori ETO
Hungary NB I
 1-0 3-0 93 W
30/08 Puskas Academy
Hungary NB I
 0-0 2-1 55 W
17/08 Zalaegerszegi TE
Hungary NB I
 1-0 1-0 14 W
02/08 Vasas SC
Hungary NB I
 0-0 0-0 26 D
26/07 Paksi
Hungary NB I
 2-2 2-4 23 L
16/05 Zalaegerszegi TE
Hungary NB I
 0-0 3-0 52 W

MTK Budapest

WDLDWDLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/10 Vasas SC
Hungary NB I
 1-0 1-0 35 W
10/10 Paksi
Hungary NB I
 0-1 0-3 46 L
20/09 Gyori ETO
Hungary NB I
 0-0 1-2 85 L
05/09 Kisvarda FC
Hungary NB I
 0-0 1-2 62 L
28/08 Debreceni VSC
Hungary NB I
 2-1 2-2 36 D
22/08 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
Hungary NB I
 1-1 2-1 45 W
15/08 Ujpest
Hungary NB I
 1-1 1-1 43 D
07/08 Puskas Academy
Hungary NB I
 0-2 2-3 86 L
01/08 Kispest Honved
Hungary NB I
 1-2 3-3 34 D
27/07 Zalaegerszegi TE
Hungary NB I
 1-0 3-0 12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ferencvarosi TC vs MTK Budapest?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferencvarosi TC win (67%). Probabilities: Ferencvarosi TC 67%, draw 19%, MTK Budapest 14%.

How many goals are expected in Ferencvarosi TC vs MTK Budapest?

The model expects 3.55 goals (Ferencvarosi TC 2.46 · MTK Budapest 1.09), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ferencvarosi TC vs MTK Budapest?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.