Football · Hungary NB I · 20/09, 14:45

Prediction: MTK Budapest vs Gyori ETO

Team pages: MTK Budapest · Gyori ETO

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

MTK Budapest1.43

Gyori ETO1.4

1X2

37% 27% 36%

MTK Budapest Draw Gyori ETO

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

MTK Budapest 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DDDWDLDWDL

Gyori ETO 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDWDWDLW

Head-to-head

MTK Budapest 1–2–3 Gyori ETO (6 last)

Gyori ETO0-0MTK Budapest
Gyori ETO3-0MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest2-7Gyori ETO
Gyori ETO2-1MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest2-2Gyori ETO
Gyori ETO1-2MTK Budapest

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gyori ETO (rating 1515 vs 1566).
H2H favours Gyori ETO: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MTK Budapest	Gyori ETO
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.5	2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.2	1.9 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.97

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:24

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.19 → 2.19	Pinn 2.19
X	4.04 → 4.04	Pinn 4.04
2	2.76 → 2.76	Pinn 2.76

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:05 +19’	2.19	4.04	2.76

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MTK Budapest 1–2–3 Gyori ETO

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/03/26 Hungary NB I	Gyori ETO	0-0 HT 0-0	MTK Budapest
29/11/25 Hungary NB I	Gyori ETO	3-0 HT 1-0	MTK Budapest
17/08/25 Hungary NB I	MTK Budapest	2-7 HT 1-4	Gyori ETO
29/03/25 Hungary NB I	Gyori ETO	2-1 HT 1-0	MTK Budapest
23/11/24 Hungary NB I	MTK Budapest	2-2 HT 1-0	Gyori ETO
11/08/24 Hungary NB I	Gyori ETO	1-2 HT 1-1	MTK Budapest

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Puskas Academy	7	4	0	3	10	9	12
2	Gyori ETO	7	3	3	1	14	9	12
3	Vasas SC	7	3	2	2	13	9	11
4	Ujpest	7	3	2	2	15	12	11
5	Ferencvarosi TC	6	3	2	1	10	7	11
6	MTK Budapest	7	2	3	2	14	12	9
7	Kisvarda FC	7	2	3	2	9	9	9
8	Debreceni VSC	7	2	3	2	10	11	9
9	Paksi	7	2	2	3	15	17	8
10	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	7	2	1	4	8	13	7
11	Zalaegerszegi TE	7	2	0	5	6	15	6
12	Kispest Honved	6	1	3	2	10	11	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MTK Budapest	Gyori ETO
Kisvarda FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Debreceni VSC	2-2 D	1-1 D
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	2-1 W	4-0 W
Kispest Honved	3-3 D	3-2 W
Zalaegerszegi TE	3-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Gyori ETO (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MTK Budapest

DDDWDLDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
28/08	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	2-1	2-2	3	6	D
22/08	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
15/08	Ujpest Hungary NB I	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
07/08	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	0-2	2-3	8	6	L
01/08	Kispest Honved Hungary NB I	1-2	3-3	3	4	D
27/07	Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I	1-0	3-0	1	2	W
15/05	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	0-0	2-2	4	5	D
02/05	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
24/04	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB I	0-0	0-0	6	3	D

Gyori ETO

DWWDWDWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Kispest Honved Hungary NB I	0-0	3-2	3	6	W
03/09	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
30/08	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
23/08	Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I	1-0	3-0	2	7	W
16/08	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
02/08	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	1-0	4-0	3	6	W
26/07	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	0-0	2-2	5	6	D
16/05	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	1-0	1-0	8	3	W
02/05	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB I	2-0	4-0	4	3	W
26/04	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	1-0	1-1	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MTK Budapest vs Gyori ETO?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MTK Budapest win (37%). Probabilities: MTK Budapest 37%, draw 27%, Gyori ETO 36%.

How many goals are expected in MTK Budapest vs Gyori ETO?

The model expects 2.84 goals (MTK Budapest 1.43 · Gyori ETO 1.4), with a 59% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in MTK Budapest vs Gyori ETO?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.