Football · Hungary NB I · 19/09, 17:00

Prediction: Kisvarda FC vs Paksi

Team pages: Kisvarda FC · Paksi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.06Total

Kisvarda FC2.18

Paksi1.87

1X2

45% 22% 33%

Kisvarda FC Draw Paksi

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Kisvarda FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDWLLDDW

Paksi 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLDLWDL

Head-to-head

Kisvarda FC 1–5 Paksi (6 last)

Kisvarda FC2-1Paksi
Paksi5-3Kisvarda FC
Kisvarda FC1-5Paksi
Kisvarda FC0-1Paksi
Paksi2-1Kisvarda FC
Paksi2-1Kisvarda FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Paksi: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kisvarda FC	Paksi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	2.3 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	1.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.2	2.9 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.4	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.97

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:06

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.93 → 2.93	Pinn 2.93
X	3.96 → 3.96	Pinn 3.96
2	2.11 → 2.11	Pinn 2.11

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
22:12 +174’	2.93	3.96	2.11

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kisvarda FC 1–0–5 Paksi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Hungary NB I	Kisvarda FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Paksi
08/11/25 Hungary NB I	Paksi	5-3 HT 1-1	Kisvarda FC
03/08/25 Hungary NB I	Kisvarda FC	1-5 HT 1-4	Paksi
02/04/25 Hungary Cup	Kisvarda FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Paksi
18/05/24 Hungary NB I	Paksi	2-1 HT 1-0	Kisvarda FC
23/04/24 Hungary Cup	Paksi	2-1 HT 1-1	Kisvarda FC

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Puskas Academy	7	4	0	3	10	9	12
2	Gyori ETO	7	3	3	1	14	9	12
3	Vasas SC	7	3	2	2	13	9	11
4	Ujpest	7	3	2	2	15	12	11
5	Ferencvarosi TC	6	3	2	1	10	7	11
6	MTK Budapest	7	2	3	2	14	12	9
7	Kisvarda FC	7	2	3	2	9	9	9
8	Debreceni VSC	7	2	3	2	10	11	9
9	Paksi	7	2	2	3	15	17	8
10	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	7	2	1	4	8	13	7
11	Zalaegerszegi TE	7	2	0	5	6	15	6
12	Kispest Honved	6	1	3	2	10	11	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kisvarda FC	Paksi
Debreceni VSC	0-0 D	2-4 L
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	1-2 L	1-1 D
Ujpest	2-4 L	2-0 W
Puskas Academy	2-0 W	2-3 L
Kispest Honved	1-1 D	2-2 D
Diosgyori VTK	1-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Paksi (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kisvarda FC

LLLDWLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	0-0	2-1	1	2	W
30/08	Gyori ETO Hungary NB I	1-1	1-1	8	6	D
23/08	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
15/08	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
08/08	Ujpest Hungary NB I	1-2	2-4	6	2	L
31/07	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
25/07	Kispest Honved Hungary NB I	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
16/05	Gyori ETO Hungary NB I	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
02/05	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB I	0-2	1-2	2	6	L
25/04	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB I	1-1	1-2	2	4	L

Paksi

LWWWLDLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	1-3	2-4	8	2	L
29/08	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
21/08	Ujpest Hungary NB I	2-0	2-0	6	4	W
16/08	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	1-2	2-3	7	2	L
09/08	Kispest Honved Hungary NB I	0-0	2-2	4	3	D
03/08	Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I	2-3	2-5	7	6	L
26/07	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	2-2	4-2	7	3	W
16/05	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB I	3-0	3-1	7	4	W
03/05	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	2-2	5-2	2	8	W
26/04	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-1	0-2	5	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kisvarda FC vs Paksi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kisvarda FC win (45%). Probabilities: Kisvarda FC 45%, draw 22%, Paksi 33%.

How many goals are expected in Kisvarda FC vs Paksi?

The model expects 4.06 goals (Kisvarda FC 2.18 · Paksi 1.87), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kisvarda FC vs Paksi?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.