Football · Hungary NB I · 24/10, 17:00

Prediction: Gyori ETO vs Ujpest

Team pages: Gyori ETO · Ujpest

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Gyori ETO1.6

Ujpest1.55

1X2

39% 25% 36%

Gyori ETO Draw Ujpest

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Gyori ETO 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWDLWWLW

Ujpest 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDLWDWDL

Head-to-head

Gyori ETO 4–2–0 Ujpest (6 last)

Gyori ETO2-1Ujpest
Ujpest0-3Gyori ETO
Gyori ETO1-1Ujpest
Ujpest2-3Gyori ETO
Gyori ETO3-0Ujpest
Ujpest0-0Gyori ETO

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gyori ETO 1566 · Ujpest 1495

	Gyori ETO	Draw	Ujpest
Our model	38%	26%	36%
Market	39%	25%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gyori ETO (rating 1566 vs 1495).
H2H favours Gyori ETO: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gyori ETO	Ujpest
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.2	2.3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.75

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 32.02

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.40▲	Bet365 2.40
X	3.60 → 3.75▲	Pinn 3.81
2	2.63 → 2.55▼	Pinn 2.68 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 7.5% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:56 +24’	2.20	3.60	2.63
11:14 +1’	2.35▲	3.60	2.45▼
15:15 +7’	2.40▲	3.75▲	2.55▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:42 +229’	2.30	3.81	2.71
18:04 +15’	2.46▲	3.77▼	2.53▼
10:42 +32’	2.39▼	3.77	2.61▲
16:11 +10’	2.32▼	3.81▲	2.68▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gyori ETO 4–2–0 Ujpest

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Hungary NB I	Gyori ETO	2-1 HT 0-0	Ujpest
08/11/25 Hungary NB I	Ujpest	0-3 HT 0-1	Gyori ETO
03/08/25 Hungary NB I	Gyori ETO	1-1 HT 0-0	Ujpest
03/05/25 Hungary NB I	Ujpest	2-3 HT 0-0	Gyori ETO
08/02/25 Hungary NB I	Gyori ETO	3-0 HT 2-0	Ujpest
27/09/24 Hungary NB I	Ujpest	0-0 HT 0-0	Gyori ETO

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Puskas Academy	10	7	0	3	15	10	21
2	Gyori ETO	10	5	3	2	18	12	18
3	Vasas SC	10	4	3	3	18	13	15
4	Ujpest	10	4	3	3	18	15	15
5	Paksi	10	4	2	4	20	19	14
6	Ferencvarosi TC	9	3	5	1	13	10	14
7	Debreceni VSC	10	3	4	3	16	16	13
8	MTK Budapest	10	3	3	4	16	17	12
9	Kisvarda FC	10	2	5	3	11	12	11
10	Kispest Honved	9	2	4	3	13	15	10
11	Zalaegerszegi TE	10	3	0	7	12	21	9
12	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	10	2	2	6	10	20	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gyori ETO	Ujpest
Paksi	2-1 W	0-2 L
Puskas Academy	0-1 L	0-1 L
MTK Budapest	2-1 W	1-1 D
Kispest Honved	3-2 W	1-1 D
Ferencvarosi TC	0-3 L	2-2 D
Kisvarda FC	1-1 D	4-2 W
Zalaegerszegi TE	3-0 W	2-1 W
Debreceni VSC	1-1 D	4-2 W
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	4-0 W	1-2 L
Vasas SC	2-2 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Gyori ETO (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gyori ETO

DWDWDLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Paksi Hungary NB I	2-0	2-1	0	5	W
11/10	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
20/09	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
06/09	Kispest Honved Hungary NB I	0-0	3-2	3	6	W
03/09	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
30/08	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
23/08	Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I	1-0	3-0	2	7	W
16/08	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
02/08	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	1-0	4-0	3	6	W
26/07	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	0-0	2-2	5	6	D

Ujpest

LWWDLWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	0-0	0-1	6	9	L
11/10	Kispest Honved Hungary NB I	0-0	1-1	13	5	D
20/09	Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
06/09	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	1-2	2-2	1	4	D
29/08	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	0-0	3-1	3	3	W
21/08	Paksi Hungary NB I	0-2	0-2	1	4	L
15/08	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
08/08	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	2-1	4-2	4	2	W
02/08	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	2-1	4-2	6	6	W
24/07	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	1-0	1-2	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gyori ETO vs Ujpest?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gyori ETO win (39%). Probabilities: Gyori ETO 39%, draw 25%, Ujpest 36%.

How many goals are expected in Gyori ETO vs Ujpest?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Gyori ETO 1.6 · Ujpest 1.55), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Gyori ETO vs Ujpest?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.