Football · Croatia 1.NL · 22/08, 17:30
Prediction: Jadran LP vs NK Opatija
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Jadran LP1.2
NK Opatija1.12
1X2
Jadran LP
Draw
NK Opatija
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Jadran LP
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
NK Opatija
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jadran LP
1–2–1
NK Opatija
(4 last)
- NK Opatija0-0Jadran LP
- Jadran LP2-3NK Opatija
- Jadran LP4-1NK Opatija
- NK Opatija1-1Jadran LP
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jadran LP 1605 · NK Opatija 1562
| Jadran LP | Draw | NK Opatija | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 31% | 33% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jadran LP (rating 1605 vs 1562).
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jadran LP | NK Opatija | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.5 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/33/0% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 7.8 | 1.9 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jadran LP 1–2–1 NK Opatija
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/24 Croatia 2.NL | NK Opatija | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Jadran LP |
| 07/10/23 Croatia 2.NL | Jadran LP | 2-3 | NK Opatija |
| 03/06/23 Croatia 2.NL | Jadran LP | 4-1 HT 2-1 | NK Opatija |
| 25/11/22 Croatia 2.NL | NK Opatija | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Jadran LP |
Standings · Croatia 1.NL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NK Sesvete | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Vukovar 91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | Mladost Zdralovi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Dinamo Zagreb II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | HNK Cibalia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bijelo Brdo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | NK Croatia Zmijavci | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | NK Dubrava Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | NK Dugopolje | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hrvace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Jadran LP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | NK Kustosija | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | NK Opatija | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | HNK Segesta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Orijent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Karlovac | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jadran LP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | NK Croatia Dakovo Croatia 2.NL |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Varteks Varazdin Croatia 2.NL |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL |
3-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | NK Solin Croatia 2.NL |
0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 17/04 | Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 2.NL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 11/04 | NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 28/03 | NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
NK Opatija
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Karlovac Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | SV Austria Salzburg Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 29/05 | Karlovac Croatia 1.NL |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL |
0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Hrvace Croatia 1.NL |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 24/04 | NK Jarun Croatia 1.NL |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Orijent Croatia 1.NL |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 10/04 | NK Rudes Croatia 1.NL |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jadran LP vs NK Opatija?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Jadran LP win (37%). Probabilities: Jadran LP 37%, draw 29%, NK Opatija 33%.
How many goals are expected in Jadran LP vs NK Opatija?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Jadran LP 1.2 · NK Opatija 1.12), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Jadran LP vs NK Opatija?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.