Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 25/07, 17:00

Prediction: Slovan Galanta vs MFK Zvolen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Slovan Galanta1.26

MFK Zvolen1.45

1X2

32% 27% 41%

Slovan Galanta Draw MFK Zvolen

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Slovan Galanta 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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MFK Zvolen 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Slovan Galanta 3–1–2 MFK Zvolen (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slovan Galanta 1559 · MFK Zvolen 1508

	Slovan Galanta	Draw	MFK Zvolen
Our model	31%	28%	41%
Market	33%	26%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Slovan Galanta (rating 1559 vs 1508).
H2H favours Slovan Galanta: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slovan Galanta	MFK Zvolen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.9	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 8.5	2.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.50

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 2.75▼	Bet365 2.75
X	3.60 → 3.50▼	Bet365 3.50
2	1.90 → 2.15▲	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
19:13 +6’	3.25	3.60	1.90
22:16 +5’	2.75▼	3.50▼	2.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Slovan Galanta 3–1–2 MFK Zvolen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/06/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	Slovan Galanta	0-1 HT 0-1	MFK Zvolen
11/11/23 Slovakia 3. Liga	MFK Zvolen	3-0 HT 2-0	Slovan Galanta
13/07/19 Europe Friendlies	MFK Zvolen	0-1 HT 0-0	Slovan Galanta
13/07/19 Europe Friendlies	MFK Zvolen	0-1 HT 0-0	Slovan Galanta
16/02/19 Europe Friendlies	Slovan Galanta	1-0 HT 0-0	MFK Zvolen
03/02/18 Europe Friendlies	Slovan Galanta	3-3 HT 2-2	MFK Zvolen

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tatran Presov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Petrzalka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan Galanta	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	STK Samorin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Humenne	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Inter Bratislava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Pohronie	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Bytca	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Zvolen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MSK Povazska Bystrica	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MSK Zilina B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OFK Banik Lehota	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OFK Malzenice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan Bratislava B	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Slovan Galanta

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/06	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
30/05	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
23/05	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
16/05	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	3-2	12	7	W
09/05	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
01/05	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	12	6	D
25/04	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
18/04	FC Malacky Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	5	4	W
12/04	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	5	3	W
04/04	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	3-1	–	–	W

MFK Zvolen

DWWLWLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Fomat Martin Club Friendly List	3-0	4-1	2	0	W
08/07	KFC Komarno Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
04/07	MFK Ruzomberok Europe Friendlies	1-2	3-3	3	1	D
20/06	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
23/05	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga Play-Offs	0-1	0-3	6	7	L
19/05	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga Play-Offs	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/05	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	1-3	3	4	L
08/05	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	5-2	4	4	W
02/05	Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
26/04	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	7	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slovan Galanta vs MFK Zvolen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MFK Zvolen win (41%). Probabilities: Slovan Galanta 32%, draw 27%, MFK Zvolen 41%.

How many goals are expected in Slovan Galanta vs MFK Zvolen?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Slovan Galanta 1.26 · MFK Zvolen 1.45), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Slovan Galanta vs MFK Zvolen?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.