Football · Croatia 1.NL · 22/08, 16:30

Prediction: HNK Segesta vs Orijent

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
HNK Segesta1.55
Orijent1.31
1X2
42% 27% 31%
HNK Segesta Draw Orijent
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
HNK Segesta 8-2-0 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWDWDW
Orijent 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLWLWLWDLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HNK Segesta 1627 · Orijent 1482
HNK SegestaDrawOrijent
Our model42%27%31%
Market42%27%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HNK Segesta (rating 1627 vs 1482).
  • Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HNK SegestaOrijent
Goals for / against (FT)3.5 / 0.81.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)2 / 0.40.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/30/0%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.42 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 01.9 / 0

Standings · Croatia 1.NL

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 NK Sesvete 1100 303
2 Vukovar 91 1010 111
2 Mladost Zdralovi 1010 111
4 Dinamo Zagreb II 0000 000
4 HNK Cibalia 0000 000
4 Bijelo Brdo 0000 000
4 NK Croatia Zmijavci 0000 000
4 NK Dubrava Zagreb 0000 000
4 NK Dugopolje 0000 000
4 Hrvace 0000 000
4 Jadran LP 0000 000
4 NK Kustosija 0000 000
4 NK Opatija 0000 000
4 HNK Segesta 0000 000
4 Orijent 0000 000
16 Karlovac 1001 030

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHNK SegestaOrijent
NK Dubrava Zagreb 2-0 W 0-1 L
Karlovac 4-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: HNK Segesta (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HNK Segesta

WWWWWWDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 NK Dubrava Zagreb
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-0 32 W
01/08 NK Lucko
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-1 34 D
29/07 NK Krka
Club Friendly List
2-0 4-1 81 W
24/07 NK Triglav Kranj
Europe Friendlies
2-2 2-2 57 D
22/07 NK Jesenice
Club Friendly List
6-0 8-0 43 W
18/07 Karlovac
Europe Friendlies
1-0 4-0 41 W
15/07 NK Dubrava Zagreb
Europe Friendlies
3-0 6-0 51 W
30/05 Varteks Varazdin
Croatia 2.NL
1-1 3-2 14 W
23/05 NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Croatia 2.NL
2-0 3-1 W
16/05 NK Solin
Croatia 2.NL
1-1 2-1 73 W

Orijent

LLWLWLWDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/08 Karlovac
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-1 33 D
02/08 Caykur Rizespor
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-2 02 L
29/07 NK Grobnican
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-1 41 D
25/07 NK Vrhnika
Europe Friendlies
0-0 3-1 W
21/07 Istra 1961
Europe Friendlies
1-2 2-5 30 L
30/05 NK Dugopolje
Croatia 1.NL
1-0 3-0 41 W
23/05 HNK Cibalia
Croatia 1.NL
1-2 2-3 43 L
16/05 Karlovac
Croatia 1.NL
0-0 1-0 63 W
09/05 NK Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia 1.NL
0-0 0-1 83 L
02/05 NK Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia 1.NL
0-0 0-1 71 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HNK Segesta vs Orijent?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HNK Segesta win (42%). Probabilities: HNK Segesta 42%, draw 27%, Orijent 31%.

How many goals are expected in HNK Segesta vs Orijent?

The model expects 2.87 goals (HNK Segesta 1.55 · Orijent 1.31), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in HNK Segesta vs Orijent?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.