Football · Czechia 2. Liga · 17/08, 18:00
Prediction: Trinec vs FK Usti nad Labem
Team pages: Trinec · FK Usti nad Labem
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Trinec1.37
FK Usti nad Labem1.58
1X2
Trinec
Draw
FK Usti nad Labem
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Trinec
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
FK Usti nad Labem
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Trinec
2–1–3
FK Usti nad Labem
(6 last)
- FK Usti nad Labem3-2Trinec
- Trinec2-3FK Usti nad Labem
- Trinec1-0FK Usti nad Labem
- FK Usti nad Labem0-1Trinec
- FK Usti nad Labem3-3Trinec
- Trinec0-1FK Usti nad Labem
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trinec 1516 · FK Usti nad Labem 1522
| Trinec | Draw | FK Usti nad Labem | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 27% | 41% |
| Market | 32% | 27% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Usti nad Labem: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Trinec | FK Usti nad Labem | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.2 | 1.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4 | 2.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Trinec 2–1–3 FK Usti nad Labem
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/22 Czechia 2. Liga | FK Usti nad Labem | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Trinec |
| 24/07/21 Czechia 2. Liga | Trinec | 2-3 HT 0-1 | FK Usti nad Labem |
| 05/05/21 Czechia 2. Liga | Trinec | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Usti nad Labem |
| 28/11/20 Czechia 2. Liga | FK Usti nad Labem | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Trinec |
| 28/06/20 Czechia 2. Liga | FK Usti nad Labem | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Trinec |
| 26/10/19 Czechia 2. Liga | Trinec | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FK Usti nad Labem |
Standings · Czechia 2. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dukla Praha | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | FK Usti nad Labem | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | FK Pribram | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | MFK Karvina | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Slavia Prague B | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 6 | FC Silon Taborsko | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 7 | Opava | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | SK Kladno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Vysocina Jihlava | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Viktoria Zizkov | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Trinec | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 13 | Arsenal Ceska Lipa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 14 | Banik Ostrava B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 15 | SK Prostejov | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Trinec | FK Usti nad Labem |
|---|---|---|
| Slavia Prague B | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Vysocina Jihlava | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trinec
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | FK Bohumin Czechia Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/08 | Slavia Prague B Czechia 2. Liga |
2-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Vysocina Jihlava Czechia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 24/07 | SK Prostejov Czechia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | GKS Tychy 71 Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | TJ Unie Hlubina Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/06 | Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
FK Usti nad Labem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | FC Karlovy Vary Czechia Cup |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/08 | Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 2. Liga |
3-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 24/07 | SK Kladno Czechia 2. Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 17/07 | Dukla Praha Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | Zwickau Club Friendly List |
2-3 | 3-6 | – | – | L |
| 03/07 | FK Jablonec Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 27/06 | Slovan Liberec Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Vysocina Jihlava Czechia 2. Liga |
0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Slavia Prague B Czechia 2. Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trinec vs FK Usti nad Labem?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Usti nad Labem win (41%). Probabilities: Trinec 32%, draw 27%, FK Usti nad Labem 41%.
How many goals are expected in Trinec vs FK Usti nad Labem?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Trinec 1.37 · FK Usti nad Labem 1.58), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Trinec vs FK Usti nad Labem?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.