Football · Czechia 2. Liga · 21/08, 18:00

Prediction: FK Usti nad Labem vs Dukla Praha

Team pages: FK Usti nad Labem · Dukla Praha

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

FK Usti nad Labem1.52

Dukla Praha1.41

1X2

39% 27% 34%

FK Usti nad Labem Draw Dukla Praha

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Usti nad Labem 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLDLDWWDWD

Dukla Praha 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLLDDWDWWL

Head-to-head

FK Usti nad Labem 2–2–2 Dukla Praha (6 last)

FK Usti nad Labem2-2Dukla Praha
FK Usti nad Labem0-1Dukla Praha
FK Usti nad Labem1-1Dukla Praha
Dukla Praha0-1FK Usti nad Labem
FK Usti nad Labem1-0Dukla Praha
Dukla Praha5-0FK Usti nad Labem

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Usti nad Labem 1525 · Dukla Praha 1515

	FK Usti nad Labem	Draw	Dukla Praha
Our model	39%	27%	34%
Market	39%	27%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Usti nad Labem	Dukla Praha
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.8	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	67/22/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.4	1.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.30

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
20:59 +3’	2.30	3.30	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Usti nad Labem 2–2–2 Dukla Praha

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/07/26 Europe Friendlies	FK Usti nad Labem	2-2 HT 0-2	Dukla Praha
12/07/25 Europe Friendlies	FK Usti nad Labem	0-1 HT 0-0	Dukla Praha
27/04/22 Czechia 2. Liga	FK Usti nad Labem	1-1 HT 0-0	Dukla Praha
23/10/21 Czechia 2. Liga	Dukla Praha	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Usti nad Labem
22/05/21 Czechia 2. Liga	FK Usti nad Labem	1-0 HT 1-0	Dukla Praha
08/03/21 Czechia 2. Liga	Dukla Praha	5-0 HT 2-0	FK Usti nad Labem

Standings · Czechia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MFK Karvina	4	3	0	1	8	5	9
2	Slavia Prague B	4	2	2	0	9	6	8
3	FK Pribram	4	2	2	0	7	5	8
4	FC Silon Taborsko	4	2	2	0	7	3	8
5	FK Usti nad Labem	4	2	2	0	7	4	8
6	Vysocina Jihlava	4	2	1	1	6	2	7
7	Dukla Praha	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
8	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	4	1	2	1	7	5	5
9	SK Kladno	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
10	Banik Ostrava B	4	1	1	2	7	6	4
11	Opava	4	1	1	2	3	5	4
12	Trinec	4	0	3	1	3	4	3
13	Viktoria Zizkov	4	1	0	3	3	9	3
14	SK Prostejov	4	0	2	2	4	6	2
15	Arsenal Ceska Lipa	4	0	2	2	6	11	2
16	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz	4	0	1	3	0	8	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Usti nad Labem	Dukla Praha
Arsenal Ceska Lipa	3-3 D	2-0 W
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz	2-0 W	2-0 W
Slovan Liberec	0-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Dukla Praha (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Usti nad Labem

LLDLDWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Trinec Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
12/08	FC Karlovy Vary Czechia Cup	3-0	3-0	–	–	W
07/08	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 2. Liga	3-0	3-3	7	6	D
01/08	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	0	7	W
24/07	SK Kladno Czechia 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	6	6	W
17/07	Dukla Praha Europe Friendlies	0-2	2-2	8	0	D
11/07	Zwickau Club Friendly List	2-3	3-6	–	–	L
03/07	FK Jablonec Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-1	1	0	D
27/06	Slovan Liberec Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-2	0	0	L
23/05	Vysocina Jihlava Czechia 2. Liga	0-3	1-3	6	3	L

Dukla Praha

WLLDDWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Slavia Prague B Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	1-3	5	3	L
11/08	Cechie Vykan Czechia Cup	–	3-0	7	2	W
07/08	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
31/07	FC Silon Taborsko Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
24/07	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	9	3	W
17/07	FK Usti nad Labem Europe Friendlies	2-0	2-2	5	0	D
04/07	Slovan Liberec Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-2	1	1	D
27/06	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-2	7	1	L
26/06	Mlada Boleslav Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
20/06	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-2	3	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Usti nad Labem vs Dukla Praha?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Usti nad Labem win (39%). Probabilities: FK Usti nad Labem 39%, draw 27%, Dukla Praha 34%.

How many goals are expected in FK Usti nad Labem vs Dukla Praha?

The model expects 2.92 goals (FK Usti nad Labem 1.52 · Dukla Praha 1.41), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Usti nad Labem vs Dukla Praha?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.