Football · Czechia 2. Liga · 30/10, 17:00

Prediction: FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim vs FK Usti nad Labem

Team pages: FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim · FK Usti nad Labem

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim1.87

FK Usti nad Labem1.67

1X2

41% 25% 33%

FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Draw FK Usti nad Labem

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLWLWWWL

FK Usti nad Labem 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDWWDLWLDL

Head-to-head

FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim 3–3 FK Usti nad Labem (6 last)

FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim4-0FK Usti nad Labem
FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim7-2FK Usti nad Labem
FK Usti nad Labem4-1FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim
FK Usti nad Labem5-2FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim
FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim3-0FK Usti nad Labem
FK Usti nad Labem2-1FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim 1527 · FK Usti nad Labem 1491

	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	Draw	FK Usti nad Labem
Our model	42%	24%	34%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	FK Usti nad Labem
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.3	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.3	3.4 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.20▲	Pinn 2.22
X	3.50 → 3.40▼	Pinn 3.57 ★
2	2.90 → 2.75▼	Pinn 2.82

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:33 +9’	2.05	3.50	2.90
18:10 +7’	2.20▲	3.40▼	2.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:17	2.37	3.52	2.63
21:45 +3’	2.22▼	3.57▲	2.82▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim 3–0–3 FK Usti nad Labem

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 Europe Friendlies	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	4-0 HT 1-0	FK Usti nad Labem
09/11/25 Czechia 2. Liga	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	7-2 HT 2-2	FK Usti nad Labem
25/07/25 Czechia 2. Liga	FK Usti nad Labem	4-1 HT 3-1	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim
10/07/24 Europe Friendlies	FK Usti nad Labem	5-2 HT 2-0	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim
23/04/22 Czechia 2. Liga	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	3-0 HT 2-0	FK Usti nad Labem
15/10/21 Czechia 2. Liga	FK Usti nad Labem	2-1 HT 0-0	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim

Standings · Czechia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MFK Karvina	12	9	0	3	26	13	27
2	Vysocina Jihlava	12	7	2	3	21	12	23
3	Dukla Praha	12	6	3	3	22	19	21
4	FK Usti nad Labem	12	5	4	3	20	16	19
5	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	12	5	3	4	20	16	18
6	FK Pribram	12	4	6	2	22	20	18
7	Slavia Prague B	12	4	4	4	25	20	16
8	FC Silon Taborsko	12	3	6	3	16	16	15
9	Banik Ostrava B	12	4	3	5	20	17	15
10	SK Kladno	12	3	5	4	17	18	14
11	Opava	12	3	5	4	18	21	14
12	Viktoria Zizkov	12	4	2	6	13	21	14
13	Arsenal Ceska Lipa	12	3	4	5	16	22	13
14	Trinec	12	2	5	5	14	21	11
15	SK Prostejov	12	1	7	4	16	21	10
16	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz	12	2	3	7	11	24	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	FK Usti nad Labem
Vysocina Jihlava	0-2 L	1-2 L
Slavia Prague B	2-0 W	1-1 D
FC Silon Taborsko	4-1 W	1-0 W
Dukla Praha	1-3 L	3-1 W
Trinec	2-1 W	0-0 D
Arsenal Ceska Lipa	1-2 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim

WDDLWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Vysocina Jihlava Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
16/10	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
09/10	Slavia Prague B Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
20/09	FC Silon Taborsko Czechia 2. Liga	2-1	4-1	2	2	W
11/09	Dukla Praha Czechia 2. Liga	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
04/09	Trinec Czechia 2. Liga	2-1	2-1	5	2	W
29/08	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 2. Liga	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
21/08	FK Pribram Czechia 2. Liga	1-2	2-2	6	6	D
14/08	SK Kladno Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
07/08	Viktoria Zizkov Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	4-1	3	8	W

FK Usti nad Labem

DDWWDLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	MFK Karvina Czechia 2. Liga	0-2	1-3	3	3	L
16/10	SK Prostejov Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	14	3	D
09/10	Opava Czechia 2. Liga	0-3	2-3	9	6	L
20/09	Banik Ostrava B Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
11/09	Vysocina Jihlava Czechia 2. Liga	1-2	1-2	6	5	L
04/09	Slavia Prague B Czechia 2. Liga	1-1	1-1	10	3	D
29/08	FC Silon Taborsko Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
21/08	Dukla Praha Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	3-1	5	5	W
17/08	Trinec Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
07/08	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 2. Liga	3-0	3-3	7	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim vs FK Usti nad Labem?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim win (41%). Probabilities: FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim 41%, draw 25%, FK Usti nad Labem 33%.

How many goals are expected in FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim vs FK Usti nad Labem?

The model expects 3.53 goals (FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim 1.87 · FK Usti nad Labem 1.67), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim vs FK Usti nad Labem?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.