Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 25/07, 17:00

Prediction: MSK Povazska Bystrica vs Inter Bratislava

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

MSK Povazska Bystrica1.27

Inter Bratislava1.12

1X2

39% 29% 32%

MSK Povazska Bystrica Draw Inter Bratislava

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

MSK Povazska Bystrica 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

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Inter Bratislava 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDWWLLLWLW

Head-to-head

MSK Povazska Bystrica 0–1–2 Inter Bratislava (3 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MSK Povazska Bystrica 1435 · Inter Bratislava 1509

	MSK Povazska Bystrica	Draw	Inter Bratislava
Our model	39%	30%	31%
Market	40%	27%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inter Bratislava (rating 1435 vs 1509).
H2H favours Inter Bratislava: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MSK Povazska Bystrica	Inter Bratislava
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.7	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.9	4.1 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.30

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:13 +5’	2.25	3.30	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MSK Povazska Bystrica 0–1–2 Inter Bratislava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Povazska Bystrica	0-2 HT 0-0	Inter Bratislava
09/08/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	Inter Bratislava	1-1 HT 1-0	MSK Povazska Bystrica
11/07/20 Europe Friendlies	Inter Bratislava	4-3 HT 2-2	MSK Povazska Bystrica

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tatran Presov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Petrzalka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan Galanta	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	STK Samorin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Humenne	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Inter Bratislava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Pohronie	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Bytca	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Zvolen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MSK Povazska Bystrica	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MSK Zilina B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OFK Banik Lehota	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OFK Malzenice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan Bratislava B	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MSK Povazska Bystrica	Inter Bratislava
FK Pohronie	0-2 L	2-1 W
Puchov	1-0 W	3-1 W
MFK Stara Lubovna	1-1 D	2-2 D
STK Samorin	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Inter Bratislava (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

MSK Povazska Bystrica

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	GKS Tychy 71 Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-2	6	0	D
10/07	MFK Karvina Club Friendly List	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
27/06	Banik Ostrava B Europe Friendlies	1-2	1-4	2	1	L
19/06	FK Pohronie Club Friendly List	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
15/05	Puchov Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
08/05	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
02/05	MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	0	5	D
25/04	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
22/04	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-2	4	3	D
18/04	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	6	5	L

Inter Bratislava

LDWWLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/07	AS Trencin Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-0	3	0	W
20/06	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	8	0	L
15/05	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
08/05	Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	1-2	2	7	L
01/05	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
25/04	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
22/04	Puchov Slovakia 2. Liga	3-1	3-1	8	7	W
18/04	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	7	12	W
11/04	MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	2-2	4	5	D
03/04	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	10	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MSK Povazska Bystrica vs Inter Bratislava?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MSK Povazska Bystrica win (39%). Probabilities: MSK Povazska Bystrica 39%, draw 29%, Inter Bratislava 32%.

How many goals are expected in MSK Povazska Bystrica vs Inter Bratislava?

The model expects 2.39 goals (MSK Povazska Bystrica 1.27 · Inter Bratislava 1.12), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in MSK Povazska Bystrica vs Inter Bratislava?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.