Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 25/07, 17:00

Prediction: OFK Banik Lehota vs FK Pohronie

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

OFK Banik Lehota1.6

FK Pohronie1.66

1X2

36% 26% 38%

OFK Banik Lehota Draw FK Pohronie

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

OFK Banik Lehota 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

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FK Pohronie 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

OFK Banik Lehota 2–3 FK Pohronie (5 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OFK Banik Lehota 1506 · FK Pohronie 1495

	OFK Banik Lehota	Draw	FK Pohronie
Our model	36%	25%	39%
Market	35%	27%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Pohronie: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	OFK Banik Lehota	FK Pohronie
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.7	2.5 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	2.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.30

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:13 +5’	2.55	3.30	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · OFK Banik Lehota 2–0–3 FK Pohronie

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Pohronie	1-2 HT 0-2	OFK Banik Lehota
20/09/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	OFK Banik Lehota	4-3 HT 3-2	FK Pohronie
28/06/25 Club Friendly List	FK Pohronie	3-0 HT 1-0	OFK Banik Lehota
29/01/25 Europe Friendlies	FK Pohronie	2-1 HT 1-1	OFK Banik Lehota
20/10/21 Slovakia Cup	OFK Banik Lehota	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Pohronie

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tatran Presov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Petrzalka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan Galanta	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	STK Samorin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Humenne	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Inter Bratislava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Pohronie	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Bytca	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Zvolen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MSK Povazska Bystrica	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MSK Zilina B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OFK Banik Lehota	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OFK Malzenice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan Bratislava B	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	OFK Banik Lehota	FK Pohronie
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	2-2 D	2-2 D
FC Vion Zlate Moravce	3-3 D	1-0 W
Dukla Banska Bystrica	1-4 L	0-1 L
Inter Bratislava	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Pohronie (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

OFK Banik Lehota

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/07	OK Castkovce Club Friendly List	1-1	2-2	4	0	D
19/06	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Club Friendly List	1-1	2-2	3	0	D
15/05	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	2-2	3-3	6	4	D
08/05	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-2	1-4	6	0	L
01/05	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
26/04	Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	5	8	D
22/04	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	1-2	1	5	L
18/04	Puchov Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	3-3	7	2	D
10/04	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	2-1	3	8	W
04/04	MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	1-2	6	6	L

FK Pohronie

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Dukla Banska Bystrica Club Friendly List	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
11/07	KFC Komarno Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-5	2	0	L
04/07	FK Podkonice Club Friendly List	3-1	4-1	7	0	W
19/06	MSK Povazska Bystrica Club Friendly List	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
15/05	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-1	8	0	W
08/05	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	1	3	D
02/05	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	8	6	D
26/04	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
22/04	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
18/04	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	1-2	6	12	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OFK Banik Lehota vs FK Pohronie?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Pohronie win (38%). Probabilities: OFK Banik Lehota 36%, draw 26%, FK Pohronie 38%.

How many goals are expected in OFK Banik Lehota vs FK Pohronie?

The model expects 3.25 goals (OFK Banik Lehota 1.6 · FK Pohronie 1.66), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in OFK Banik Lehota vs FK Pohronie?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.