Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 26/07, 10:30

Prediction: MSK Zilina B vs FC Petrzalka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

MSK Zilina B1.58

FC Petrzalka1.58

1X2

37% 26% 37%

MSK Zilina B Draw FC Petrzalka

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

MSK Zilina B 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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FC Petrzalka 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

MSK Zilina B 0–2–4 FC Petrzalka (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MSK Zilina B 1433 · FC Petrzalka 1522

	MSK Zilina B	Draw	FC Petrzalka
Our model	37%	26%	37%
Market	37%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Petrzalka (rating 1433 vs 1522).
H2H favours FC Petrzalka: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MSK Zilina B	FC Petrzalka
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.5	1.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.1	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.1	2.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.40

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.55

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.45▼	Bet365 2.45
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.30 → 2.45▲	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
19:24 +1’	2.63	3.40	2.30
20:23 +4’	2.45▼	3.40	2.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MSK Zilina B 0–2–4 FC Petrzalka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Zilina B	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Petrzalka
24/08/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	1-1 HT 0-0	MSK Zilina B
30/04/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	1-0 HT 1-0	MSK Zilina B
22/09/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Zilina B	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Petrzalka
17/05/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	5-1 HT 3-1	MSK Zilina B
04/11/23 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Zilina B	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Petrzalka

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tatran Presov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Petrzalka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan Galanta	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	STK Samorin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Humenne	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Inter Bratislava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Pohronie	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Bytca	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Zvolen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MSK Povazska Bystrica	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MSK Zilina B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OFK Banik Lehota	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OFK Malzenice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan Bratislava B	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MSK Zilina B	FC Petrzalka
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	0-2 L	2-1 W
FC Vion Zlate Moravce	1-4 L	0-1 L
Dukla Banska Bystrica	1-4 L	1-3 L
Inter Bratislava	1-2 L	2-0 W
OFK Banik Lehota	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Petrzalka (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

MSK Zilina B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/05	Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	4-0	2	1	W
08/05	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-5	6	4	L
03/05	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
26/04	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-4	2-4	2	2	L
22/04	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	5	3	D
18/04	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	1	5	L
12/04	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	1-4	15	3	L
03/04	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-4	4	3	L
28/03	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	1-2	13	2	L
21/03	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	2	6	L

FC Petrzalka

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Opava Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
11/07	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-0	4	0	W
04/07	MFK Skalica Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
27/06	AS Trencin Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-4	1	1	L
20/06	FC Trinity Zlin Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-3	1	4	D
15/05	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
08/05	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
03/05	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-2	1-3	15	0	L
25/04	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
22/04	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	8	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MSK Zilina B vs FC Petrzalka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MSK Zilina B win (37%). Probabilities: MSK Zilina B 37%, draw 26%, FC Petrzalka 37%.

How many goals are expected in MSK Zilina B vs FC Petrzalka?

The model expects 3.17 goals (MSK Zilina B 1.58 · FC Petrzalka 1.58), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MSK Zilina B vs FC Petrzalka?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.