Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 25/07, 16:00

Prediction: FK Humenne vs FC Tatran Presov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

FK Humenne1.38

FC Tatran Presov1.83

1X2

28% 25% 47%

FK Humenne Draw FC Tatran Presov

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Humenne 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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FC Tatran Presov 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FK Humenne 1–2–3 FC Tatran Presov (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Humenne 1566 · FC Tatran Presov 1460

	FK Humenne	Draw	FC Tatran Presov
Our model	28%	25%	47%
Market	28%	25%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Humenne (rating 1566 vs 1460).
H2H favours FC Tatran Presov: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Humenne	FC Tatran Presov
Goals for / against (FT)	3.9 / 0.8	0.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.9 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.4	1.6 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.60

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.5

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
19:13 +5’	3.20	3.60	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Humenne 1–2–3 FC Tatran Presov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Tatran Presov	3-0 HT 1-0	FK Humenne
12/10/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Humenne	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Tatran Presov
17/05/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Humenne	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Tatran Presov
03/02/24 Europe Friendlies	FC Tatran Presov	2-0 HT 0-0	FK Humenne
04/11/23 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Tatran Presov	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Humenne
08/07/23 Europe Friendlies	FK Humenne	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Tatran Presov

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tatran Presov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Petrzalka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan Galanta	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	STK Samorin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Humenne	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Inter Bratislava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Pohronie	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Bytca	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Zvolen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MSK Povazska Bystrica	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MSK Zilina B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OFK Banik Lehota	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OFK Malzenice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan Bratislava B	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Humenne

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	FC Kosice Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	4	0	L
08/07	Odeva Lipany Club Friendly List	0-0	2-0	7	0	W
23/06	MFK Zemplin Michalovce Club Friendly List	0-1	1-2	3	1	L
30/05	Slovan Sabinov Slovakia 3. Liga	6-0	8-0	–	–	W
23/05	MFK Kezmarok Slovakia 3. Liga	4-0	6-0	–	–	W
16/05	Spartak Medzev Slovakia 3. Liga	3-0	6-0	8	5	W
10/05	FC Kosice B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	5-1	10	2	W
02/05	MSK Spisske Podhradie Slovakia 3. Liga	3-0	6-0	–	–	W
25/04	FC Lokomotiva Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	3-3	–	–	D
18/04	Odeva Lipany Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

FC Tatran Presov

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/07	Kisvarda FC Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-5	2	0	L
27/06	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-5	5	0	L
24/06	Dukla Banska Bystrica Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
16/05	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
09/05	MFK Skalica Slovakia Super Liga	2-0	3-0	1	5	W
02/05	MFK Ruzomberok Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
26/04	AS Trencin Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	9	2	L
19/04	FC Kosice Slovakia Super Liga	2-0	2-1	7	4	W
15/04	FC Kosice Slovakia Cup	1-1	1-1	3	11	D
11/04	AS Trencin Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	0-1	8	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Humenne vs FC Tatran Presov?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Tatran Presov win (47%). Probabilities: FK Humenne 28%, draw 25%, FC Tatran Presov 47%.

How many goals are expected in FK Humenne vs FC Tatran Presov?

The model expects 3.22 goals (FK Humenne 1.38 · FC Tatran Presov 1.83), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Humenne vs FC Tatran Presov?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.