Football · Belgium Super League Women · 24/10, 16:00
Prediction: Club Brugge (W) vs Gent (W)
Team pages: Club Brugge (W) · Gent (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.7Total
Club Brugge (W)2.85
Gent (W)0.85
1X2
Club Brugge (W)
Draw
Gent (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Club Brugge (W)
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Gent (W)
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club Brugge (W)
5–1
Gent (W)
(6 last)
- Club Brugge (W)3-0Gent (W)
- Club Brugge (W)1-2Gent (W)
- Gent (W)1-4Club Brugge (W)
- Gent (W)0-1Club Brugge (W)
- Gent (W)0-4Club Brugge (W)
- Club Brugge (W)1-0Gent (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Brugge (W) 1541 · Gent (W) 1371
| Club Brugge (W) | Draw | Gent (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 81% | 11% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.7 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Brugge (W) (rating 1541 vs 1371).
- H2H favours Club Brugge (W): 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Brugge (W) | Gent (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 7.2 | 1.4 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 1.7 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Brugge (W) 5–0–1 Gent (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Belgium Super League Women | Club Brugge (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Gent (W) |
| 10/01/26 Belgium Super League Women | Club Brugge (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Gent (W) |
| 06/09/25 Belgium Super League Women | Gent (W) | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Club Brugge (W) |
| 28/03/25 Belgium Super League Women | Gent (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Club Brugge (W) |
| 24/01/25 Belgium Super League Women | Gent (W) | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Club Brugge (W) |
| 29/09/24 Belgium Super League Women | Club Brugge (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gent (W) |
Standings · Belgium Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anderlecht (W) | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Brugge (W) | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Genk (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Standard Liege (W) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 9 |
| 5 | OH Leuven (W) | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | RAAL La Louviere (W) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Zulte-Waregem (W) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 3 |
| 8 | Gent (W) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Brugge (W) | Gent (W) |
|---|---|---|
| RAAL La Louviere (W) | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Anderlecht (W) | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| OH Leuven (W) | 1-1 D | 1-6 L |
| Genk (W) | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Zulte-Waregem (W) | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Standard Liege (W) | 3-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Brugge (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Brugge (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | RAAL La Louviere (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 15 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Genk (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 17 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 6 | D |
Gent (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/10 | Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 25/09 | Genk (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | RAAL La Louviere (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-3 | 1-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Westerlo (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Genk (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Brugge (W) vs Gent (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Brugge (W) win (80%). Probabilities: Club Brugge (W) 80%, draw 13%, Gent (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in Club Brugge (W) vs Gent (W)?
The model expects 3.7 goals (Club Brugge (W) 2.85 · Gent (W) 0.85), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Brugge (W) vs Gent (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.