Football · Belgium Super League Women · 24/10, 19:30
Prediction: Standard Liege (W) vs Anderlecht (W)
Team pages: Standard Liege (W) · Anderlecht (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
Standard Liege (W)0.86
Anderlecht (W)2.17
1X2
Standard Liege (W)
Draw
Anderlecht (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
0-2 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Standard Liege (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Anderlecht (W)
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Standard Liege (W)
0–2–4
Anderlecht (W)
(6 last)
- Standard Liege (W)1-1Anderlecht (W)
- Anderlecht (W)2-0Standard Liege (W)
- Anderlecht (W)3-0Standard Liege (W)
- Anderlecht (W)2-0Standard Liege (W)
- Standard Liege (W)1-1Anderlecht (W)
- Anderlecht (W)2-0Standard Liege (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Standard Liege (W) 1442 · Anderlecht (W) 1580
| Standard Liege (W) | Draw | Anderlecht (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 21% | 66% |
| Market | 14% | 19% | 67% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anderlecht (W) (rating 1442 vs 1580).
- H2H favours Anderlecht (W): 4-2-0.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Standard Liege (W) | Anderlecht (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.2 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.8 | 3.7 / 8.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Standard Liege (W) 0–2–4 Anderlecht (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Belgium Super League Women | Standard Liege (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Anderlecht (W) |
| 25/04/26 Belgium Super League Women | Anderlecht (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Standard Liege (W) |
| 14/02/26 Belgium Super League Women | Anderlecht (W) | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Standard Liege (W) |
| 15/11/25 Belgium Super League Women | Anderlecht (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Standard Liege (W) |
| 18/10/25 Belgium Super League Women | Standard Liege (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Anderlecht (W) |
| 03/05/25 Belgium Super League Women | Anderlecht (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Standard Liege (W) |
Standings · Belgium Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anderlecht (W) | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Brugge (W) | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Genk (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Standard Liege (W) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 9 |
| 5 | OH Leuven (W) | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | RAAL La Louviere (W) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Zulte-Waregem (W) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 3 |
| 8 | Gent (W) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Standard Liege (W) | Anderlecht (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Gent (W) | 4-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Genk (W) | 0-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Zulte-Waregem (W) | 4-3 W | 2-0 W |
| OH Leuven (W) | 0-5 L | 3-1 W |
| RAAL La Louviere (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Club Brugge (W) | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Anderlecht (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Standard Liege (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Gent (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Genk (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/09 | Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-3 | 4-3 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | RAAL La Louviere (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
Anderlecht (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | RAAL La Louviere (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 16 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Gent (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Genk (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Standard Liege (W) vs Anderlecht (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Anderlecht (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Standard Liege (W) 13%, draw 20%, Anderlecht (W) 67%.
How many goals are expected in Standard Liege (W) vs Anderlecht (W)?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Standard Liege (W) 0.86 · Anderlecht (W) 2.17), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Standard Liege (W) vs Anderlecht (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.