Football · Slovenia Prva Liga · 22/08, 17:30
Prediction: NS Mura vs FC Koper
Team pages: NS Mura · FC Koper
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
NS Mura1.56
FC Koper1.51
1X2
NS Mura
Draw
FC Koper
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
NS Mura
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
FC Koper
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NS Mura
1–5
FC Koper
(6 last)
- NS Mura0-1FC Koper
- FC Koper3-0NS Mura
- NS Mura3-2FC Koper
- FC Koper2-1NS Mura
- NS Mura1-3FC Koper
- FC Koper1-0NS Mura
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Koper (rating 1459 vs 1506).
- H2H favours FC Koper: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NS Mura | FC Koper | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.4 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 2.9 | 2.9 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NS Mura 1–0–5 FC Koper
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Slovenia Prva Liga | NS Mura | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC Koper |
| 01/03/26 Slovenia Prva Liga | FC Koper | 3-0 HT 1-0 | NS Mura |
| 07/11/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NS Mura | 3-2 HT 2-1 | FC Koper |
| 23/08/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | FC Koper | 2-1 HT 1-0 | NS Mura |
| 25/05/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NS Mura | 1-3 HT 1-2 | FC Koper |
| 29/03/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | FC Koper | 1-0 HT 1-0 | NS Mura |
Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NK Maribor | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | NK Celje | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 3 | NK Bravo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | NK Nafta 1903 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 5 | NS Mura | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 6 | FC Koper | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | NK Aluminij | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | NK Brinje Grosuplje | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 9 | NK Radomlje | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 4 |
| 10 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NS Mura | FC Koper |
|---|---|---|
| NK Brinje Grosuplje | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| NK Radomlje | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| NK Nafta 1903 | 2-5 L | 2-0 W |
| NK Maribor | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NS Mura
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 10/08 | NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 17/07 | NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 05/07 | ND Beltinci Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | SK Sturm Graz Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 10/05 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
FC Koper
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 9 | D |
| 30/07 | NSI Runavik UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 11 | L |
| 26/07 | NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/07 | NSI Runavik UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/07 | NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | MTK Budapest Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/07 | Dinamo Zagreb Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | LNZ Lebedyn Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NS Mura vs FC Koper?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NS Mura win (38%). Probabilities: NS Mura 38%, draw 26%, FC Koper 36%.
How many goals are expected in NS Mura vs FC Koper?
The model expects 3.08 goals (NS Mura 1.56 · FC Koper 1.51), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in NS Mura vs FC Koper?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.