Football · Israel League Cup · 30/07, 19:00
Prediction: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.37Total
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa1.61
Hapoel Rishon Lezion1.75
1X2
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Draw
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1–3–2
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
(6 last)
- Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa1-1Hapoel Rishon Lezion
- Hapoel Rishon Lezion4-1Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
- Hapoel Rishon Lezion1-1Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
- Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa2-0Hapoel Rishon Lezion
- Hapoel Rishon Lezion1-1Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
- Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa1-2Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1537 · Hapoel Rishon Lezion 1415
| Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | Draw | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 25% | 41% |
| Market | 33% | 28% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa (rating 1537 vs 1415).
- H2H favours Hapoel Rishon Lezion: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.9 | 2.4 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1–3–2 Hapoel Rishon Lezion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/26 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
| 05/12/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa |
| 31/01/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa |
| 26/09/24 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
| 01/08/24 Israel League Cup | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa |
| 12/04/24 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
Standings · Israel League Cup · League Cup, National 2026, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Beitar Ironi Kiryat Gat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | MS Ashdod | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Kfar Saba | 2-2 D | 0-5 L |
| Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 4-1 W | 2-6 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 25/05 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Leumit Liga |
4-1 | 6-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/05 | Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 04/05 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 30/04 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/04 | Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/04 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 14/04 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | SK Kladno Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/05 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
1-2 | 2-6 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 27/04 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 14/04 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hapoel Rishon Lezion win (40%). Probabilities: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 34%, draw 26%, Hapoel Rishon Lezion 40%.
How many goals are expected in Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion?
The model expects 3.37 goals (Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1.61 · Hapoel Rishon Lezion 1.75), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.