Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 18/08, 18:30
Prediction: Hapoel Afula vs MS Ashdod
Team pages: Hapoel Afula · MS Ashdod
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Hapoel Afula1.25
MS Ashdod1.41
1X2
Hapoel Afula
Draw
MS Ashdod
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Afula
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
MS Ashdod
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Afula
2–1–1
MS Ashdod
(4 last)
- Hapoel Afula2-2MS Ashdod
- Hapoel Afula3-1MS Ashdod
- Hapoel Afula3-2MS Ashdod
- MS Ashdod3-1Hapoel Afula
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Afula 1456 · MS Ashdod 1478
| Hapoel Afula | Draw | MS Ashdod | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 28% | 39% |
| Market | 32% | 28% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Hapoel Afula: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Afula | MS Ashdod | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.9 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 2.4 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Afula 2–1–1 MS Ashdod
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/24 Israel Cup | Hapoel Afula | 2-2 HT 1-1 | MS Ashdod |
| 15/01/19 Israel Cup | Hapoel Afula | 3-1 HT 2-1 | MS Ashdod |
| 22/01/16 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Afula | 3-2 HT 2-1 | MS Ashdod |
| 12/10/15 Israel Leumit Liga | MS Ashdod | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Hapoel Afula |
Standings · Israel Leumit Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SC Kfar Qasim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Akko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Afula | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Raanana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ironi Modiin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maccabi Herzliya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | MS Ashdod | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SC Kiryat Yam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Afula
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel League Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/08 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel League Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 03/08 | Hapoel Raanana Israel League Cup |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 30/07 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel League Cup |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/05 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 08/05 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 04/05 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/04 | Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 4 | L |
MS Ashdod
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel League Cup |
0-4 | 0-6 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 06/08 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel League Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/08 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel League Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 30/07 | Beitar Ironi Kiryat Gat Israel League Cup |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Ironi Modiin Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 18/05 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Hapoel Haifa Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 28/04 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Afula vs MS Ashdod?
According to our model, the most likely result is an MS Ashdod win (40%). Probabilities: Hapoel Afula 32%, draw 28%, MS Ashdod 40%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Afula vs MS Ashdod?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Hapoel Afula 1.25 · MS Ashdod 1.41), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Afula vs MS Ashdod?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.