Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 18/08, 18:30

Prediction: Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

Team pages: Maccabi Bnei Raina · Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Maccabi Bnei Raina1.63

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv1.17

1X2

47% 27% 26%

Maccabi Bnei Raina Draw Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Maccabi Bnei Raina 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDLLDLDW

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 4-6-0 (W-D-L)

WDDDDDWWDW

Head-to-head

Maccabi Bnei Raina 0–3–1 Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv (4 last)

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv2-1Maccabi Bnei Raina
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv0-0Maccabi Bnei Raina
Maccabi Bnei Raina0-0Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv0-0Maccabi Bnei Raina

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maccabi Bnei Raina 1487 · Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 1558

	Maccabi Bnei Raina	Draw	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
Our model	47%	27%	26%
Market	47%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv (rating 1487 vs 1558).
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maccabi Bnei Raina	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.2	2.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6.7	3.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.40

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:53 +21’	1.91	3.40	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Bnei Raina 0–3–1 Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/22 Israel Leumit Liga	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	2-1 HT 1-1	Maccabi Bnei Raina
17/01/22 Israel Leumit Liga	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	0-0 HT 0-0	Maccabi Bnei Raina
23/09/21 Israel Leumit Liga	Maccabi Bnei Raina	0-0 HT 0-0	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
19/08/21 Israel League Cup	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	0-0 HT 0-0	Maccabi Bnei Raina

Standings · Israel Leumit Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Kfar Qasim	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Akko	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Afula	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Kfar Saba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Raanana	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Rishon Lezion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ironi Modiin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maccabi Achi Nazareth	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maccabi Bnei Raina	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maccabi Herzliya	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MS Ashdod	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Kiryat Yam	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maccabi Bnei Raina	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
SC Kiryat Yam	1-3 L	2-0 W
MS Ashdod	2-1 W	6-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Maccabi Bnei Raina

WLWDLLDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	Hapoel Afula Israel League Cup	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
06/08	Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel League Cup	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
03/08	SC Kiryat Yam Israel League Cup	0-1	1-3	11	8	L
30/07	Hapoel Akko Israel League Cup	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
18/05	Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League	0-1	1-4	6	3	L
13/05	Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League	0-1	0-1	11	2	L
09/05	Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel Premier League	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
04/05	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
29/04	Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
25/04	MS Ashdod Israel Premier League	0-0	2-1	8	6	W

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

WDDDDDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	MS Ashdod Israel League Cup	4-0	6-0	3	6	W
06/08	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel League Cup	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
03/08	SC Kfar Qasim Israel League Cup	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
30/07	Ironi Modiin Israel League Cup	1-1	3-1	11	4	W
20/07	Hapoel Petah Tikva Club Friendly List	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
10/07	Hapoel Jerusalem Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-2	4	0	D
03/07	Hapoel Tel Aviv Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-3	2	0	D
25/05	Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	1-1	7	10	D
20/05	Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	2-2	3	2	D
15/05	SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	2-0	10	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Bnei Raina win (47%). Probabilities: Maccabi Bnei Raina 47%, draw 27%, Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 26%.

How many goals are expected in Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Maccabi Bnei Raina 1.63 · Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 1.17), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.