Football · Israel League Cup · 30/07, 19:00

Prediction: Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Hapoel Kfar Saba1.98

Hapoel Afula1.32

1X2

51% 26% 23%

Hapoel Kfar Saba Draw Hapoel Afula

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Hapoel Kfar Saba 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLLDDDDL

Hapoel Afula 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDLDDWLW

Head-to-head

Hapoel Kfar Saba 2–3–1 Hapoel Afula (6 last)

Hapoel Kfar Saba3-3Hapoel Afula
Hapoel Afula1-1Hapoel Kfar Saba
Hapoel Kfar Saba3-2Hapoel Afula
Hapoel Kfar Saba2-0Hapoel Afula
Hapoel Afula1-1Hapoel Kfar Saba
Hapoel Kfar Saba0-1Hapoel Afula

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Kfar Saba 1512 · Hapoel Afula 1489

	Hapoel Kfar Saba	Draw	Hapoel Afula
Our model	52%	24%	24%
Market	50%	28%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hapoel Kfar Saba: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hapoel Kfar Saba	Hapoel Afula
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2	1.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.1	1.9 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.25

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:05 +1’	1.80	3.25	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Kfar Saba 2–3–1 Hapoel Afula

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/01/26 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Kfar Saba	3-3 HT 2-2	Hapoel Afula
14/09/25 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Afula	1-1 HT 1-0	Hapoel Kfar Saba
31/07/25 Israel League Cup	Hapoel Kfar Saba	3-2 HT 1-0	Hapoel Afula
13/01/25 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Kfar Saba	2-0 HT 1-0	Hapoel Afula
05/09/24 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Afula	1-1 HT 1-1	Hapoel Kfar Saba
10/05/24 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Kfar Saba	0-1 HT 0-0	Hapoel Afula

Standings · Israel League Cup · League Cup, National 2026, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hapoel Afula	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Kfar Saba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Raanana	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maccabi Herzliya	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hapoel Kfar Saba	Hapoel Afula
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	2-2 D	1-4 L
SC Kiryat Yam	0-2 L	2-1 W
Hapoel Akko	3-2 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hapoel Kfar Saba (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Hapoel Kfar Saba

WWWLLDDDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/07	Maccabi Haifa Europe Friendlies	0-3	0-5	2	0	L
17/07	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-2	4	0	D
25/05	Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
20/05	Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
15/05	Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
11/05	SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
05/05	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	1-3	2	3	L
30/04	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	1-2	4-2	7	9	W
27/04	Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga	3-0	5-0	3	5	W
17/04	Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga	1-2	3-2	6	5	W

Hapoel Afula

DLWDLDDWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/05	SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/05	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	1-4	6	2	L
15/05	Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	2-1	5	10	W
08/05	Hapoel Hadera Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	1-1	9	5	D
04/05	Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
30/04	Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	1-4	0	4	L
24/04	Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
17/04	SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	2-1	3	8	W
14/04	Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Leumit Liga	1-2	1-3	9	3	L
10/04	Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	1-1	3	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Kfar Saba win (51%). Probabilities: Hapoel Kfar Saba 51%, draw 26%, Hapoel Afula 23%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Hapoel Kfar Saba 1.98 · Hapoel Afula 1.32), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.