Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 18/08, 18:30

Prediction: Hapoel Raanana vs Maccabi Achi Nazareth

Team pages: Hapoel Raanana · Maccabi Achi Nazareth

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Hapoel Raanana1.63

Maccabi Achi Nazareth1.24

1X2

45% 27% 28%

Hapoel Raanana Draw Maccabi Achi Nazareth

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Hapoel Raanana 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWDDWLWLW

Maccabi Achi Nazareth 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Hapoel Raanana 3–2–1 Maccabi Achi Nazareth (6 last)

Hapoel Raanana4-1Maccabi Achi Nazareth
Maccabi Achi Nazareth1-1Hapoel Raanana
Hapoel Raanana1-0Maccabi Achi Nazareth
Maccabi Achi Nazareth1-2Hapoel Raanana
Maccabi Achi Nazareth0-0Hapoel Raanana
Maccabi Achi Nazareth2-0Hapoel Raanana

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Raanana 1515 · Maccabi Achi Nazareth 1522

	Hapoel Raanana	Draw	Maccabi Achi Nazareth
Our model	46%	27%	28%
Market	45%	28%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hapoel Raanana: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hapoel Raanana	Maccabi Achi Nazareth
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/38/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.9	1.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.25

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 1.95▼	Pinn 2.01
X	3.25 → 3.40▲	Bet365 3.40
2	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.56 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:48 +7’	2.00	3.25	3.30
13:26 +8’	1.95▼	3.40▲	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:55	2.01	3.19	3.56

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Raanana 3–2–1 Maccabi Achi Nazareth

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/08/26 Israel League Cup	Hapoel Raanana	4-1 HT 1-1	Maccabi Achi Nazareth
15/03/24 Israel Liga Alef North	Maccabi Achi Nazareth	1-1 HT 0-0	Hapoel Raanana
22/12/23 Israel Liga Alef North	Hapoel Raanana	1-0 HT 1-0	Maccabi Achi Nazareth
29/04/22 Israel Leumit Liga	Maccabi Achi Nazareth	1-2 HT 1-1	Hapoel Raanana
28/12/21 Israel Leumit Liga	Maccabi Achi Nazareth	0-0 HT 0-0	Hapoel Raanana
26/10/21 Israel Cup	Maccabi Achi Nazareth	2-0 HT 2-0	Hapoel Raanana

Standings · Israel Leumit Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Kfar Qasim	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Akko	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Afula	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Kfar Saba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Raanana	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Rishon Lezion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ironi Modiin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maccabi Achi Nazareth	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maccabi Bnei Raina	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maccabi Herzliya	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MS Ashdod	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Kiryat Yam	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Hapoel Raanana

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel League Cup	1-1	4-1	11	2	W
06/08	Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel League Cup	0-2	1-5	9	5	L
03/08	Hapoel Afula Israel League Cup	2-1	3-1	2	4	W
30/07	Maccabi Herzliya Israel League Cup	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
25/05	Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	2-0	1	4	W
19/05	SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	2-2	4	4	D
14/05	Hapoel Hadera Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	3-3	4	7	D
08/05	Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	2-1	6	4	W
04/05	Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
30/04	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-1	5	7	L

Maccabi Achi Nazareth

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Hapoel Raanana Israel League Cup	1-1	1-4	7	2	L
06/08	Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel League Cup	0-1	1-1	9	3	D
03/08	Hapoel Akko Israel League Cup	1-0	1-1	2	1	D
30/07	SC Kiryat Yam Israel League Cup	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
20/02	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North	–	3-0	–	–	W
13/02	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North	3-1	4-2	10	4	W
06/02	Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North	–	2-2	–	–	D
30/01	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
23/01	Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North	2-0	2-1	2	5	W
17/01	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	3-1	3-2	0	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Raanana vs Maccabi Achi Nazareth?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Raanana win (45%). Probabilities: Hapoel Raanana 45%, draw 27%, Maccabi Achi Nazareth 28%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Raanana vs Maccabi Achi Nazareth?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Hapoel Raanana 1.63 · Maccabi Achi Nazareth 1.24), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Raanana vs Maccabi Achi Nazareth?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.