Football · Israel Premier League · 22/08, 19:00
Prediction: Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
Team pages: Maccabi Petah Tikva · Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Maccabi Petah Tikva1.28
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona1.28
1X2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Draw
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Maccabi Petah Tikva
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1–1–4
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
(6 last)
- Hapoel Kiryat Shmona2-1Maccabi Petah Tikva
- Hapoel Kiryat Shmona2-0Maccabi Petah Tikva
- Maccabi Petah Tikva2-0Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
- Maccabi Petah Tikva0-1Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
- Hapoel Kiryat Shmona1-1Maccabi Petah Tikva
- Hapoel Kiryat Shmona1-0Maccabi Petah Tikva
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maccabi Petah Tikva 1515 · Hapoel Kiryat Shmona 1560
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | Draw | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 29% | 35% |
| Market | 37% | 26% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Kiryat Shmona (rating 1515 vs 1560).
- H2H favours Hapoel Kiryat Shmona: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 1.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.9 | 1.4 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Petah Tikva 1–1–4 Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/25 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
| 09/03/25 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
| 28/12/24 Israel Cup | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona |
| 07/12/24 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona |
| 20/03/22 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
| 22/12/21 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
Standings · Israel Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beitar Jerusalem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Haifa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maccabi Haifa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maccabi Netanya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maccabi Petah Tikva | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona |
|---|---|---|
| Ironi Tiberias | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Maccabi Netanya | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Ironi Tiberias Israel League Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel League Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel League Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 29/07 | Maccabi Netanya Israel League Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel League Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 20/05 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 15/05 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel League Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 08/08 | Hapoel Haifa Israel League Cup |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 11 | W |
| 04/08 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel League Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Ironi Tiberias Israel League Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 28/07 | Maccabi Haifa Israel League Cup |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 18/05 | MS Ashdod Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Hapoel Haifa Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Kiryat Shmona?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Petah Tikva win (36%). Probabilities: Maccabi Petah Tikva 36%, draw 27%, Hapoel Kiryat Shmona 36%.
How many goals are expected in Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Kiryat Shmona?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Maccabi Petah Tikva 1.28 · Hapoel Kiryat Shmona 1.28), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Kiryat Shmona?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.