Football · Israel Premier League · 22/08, 19:00
Prediction: Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
Team pages: Ironi Tiberias · Hapoel Petah Tikva
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
Ironi Tiberias1.28
Hapoel Petah Tikva1.34
1X2
Ironi Tiberias
Draw
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ironi Tiberias
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ironi Tiberias
1–1–4
Hapoel Petah Tikva
(6 last)
- Ironi Tiberias1-4Hapoel Petah Tikva
- Hapoel Petah Tikva0-2Ironi Tiberias
- Hapoel Petah Tikva3-2Ironi Tiberias
- Hapoel Petah Tikva3-0Ironi Tiberias
- Ironi Tiberias0-1Hapoel Petah Tikva
- Hapoel Petah Tikva2-2Ironi Tiberias
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ironi Tiberias 1503 · Hapoel Petah Tikva 1415
| Ironi Tiberias | Draw | Hapoel Petah Tikva | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 29% | 37% |
| Market | 35% | 28% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ironi Tiberias (rating 1503 vs 1415).
- H2H favours Hapoel Petah Tikva: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ironi Tiberias | Hapoel Petah Tikva | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.7 | 2.3 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ironi Tiberias 1–1–4 Hapoel Petah Tikva
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 Israel Premier League | Ironi Tiberias | 1-4 HT 1-4 | Hapoel Petah Tikva |
| 27/09/25 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Ironi Tiberias |
| 16/08/25 Israel League Cup | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Ironi Tiberias |
| 21/04/23 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Ironi Tiberias |
| 27/01/23 Israel Leumit Liga | Ironi Tiberias | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Petah Tikva |
| 03/10/22 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Ironi Tiberias |
Standings · Israel Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beitar Jerusalem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Haifa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maccabi Haifa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maccabi Netanya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ironi Tiberias
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 4-3 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | MS Ashdod Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | Hapoel Haifa Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | MS Ashdod Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 04/04 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 21/02 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Hapoel Petah Tikva
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 19/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 12/05 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 05/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 28/04 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hapoel Petah Tikva win (37%). Probabilities: Ironi Tiberias 34%, draw 28%, Hapoel Petah Tikva 37%.
How many goals are expected in Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
The model expects 2.62 goals (Ironi Tiberias 1.28 · Hapoel Petah Tikva 1.34), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.