Football · Israel Premier League · 23/08, 19:15
Prediction: Hapoel Jerusalem FC vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
Team pages: Hapoel Jerusalem FC · Maccabi Tel Aviv
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Hapoel Jerusalem FC0.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv1.86
1X2
Hapoel Jerusalem FC
Draw
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Jerusalem FC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Jerusalem FC
0–6
Maccabi Tel Aviv
(6 last)
- Hapoel Jerusalem FC1-3Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Maccabi Tel Aviv2-1Hapoel Jerusalem FC
- Maccabi Tel Aviv2-1Hapoel Jerusalem FC
- Maccabi Tel Aviv3-0Hapoel Jerusalem FC
- Hapoel Jerusalem FC2-3Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Maccabi Tel Aviv2-1Hapoel Jerusalem FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Jerusalem FC 1483 · Maccabi Tel Aviv 1588
| Hapoel Jerusalem FC | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 24% | 61% |
| Market | 16% | 21% | 63% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Tel Aviv (rating 1483 vs 1588).
- H2H favours Maccabi Tel Aviv: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Jerusalem FC | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.7 | 1.7 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.4 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Jerusalem FC 0–0–6 Maccabi Tel Aviv
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/26 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 20/09/25 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC |
| 17/08/25 Israel League Cup | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC |
| 28/12/24 Israel Cup | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC |
| 16/12/24 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 18/09/24 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC |
Standings · Israel Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Maccabi Haifa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Maccabi Netanya | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Beitar Jerusalem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Hapoel Haifa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Jerusalem FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05 | Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | MS Ashdod Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 04/05 | Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 29/04 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Hapoel Haifa Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 04/04 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 21/02 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
Maccabi Tel Aviv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 19/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 05/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 28/04 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Jerusalem FC vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Maccabi Tel Aviv win (62%). Probabilities: Hapoel Jerusalem FC 16%, draw 22%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 62%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Jerusalem FC vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Hapoel Jerusalem FC 0.8 · Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.86), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Jerusalem FC vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.